NFL Picks and Betting Plays | Week 14

NFL Picks and Betting Plays | Week 14

NFL Picks and Betting Plays


NFL Week 14


NFL Picks Bet List

1 unit Jacksonville Jaguars +3 @ $2.10 William Hill

1 unit Cleveland Browns +5.5 @ $1.91 William Hill

1 unit San Diego Chargers +1.5 @ $1.92 Crown Bet

1 unit Atlanta Falcons -5.5 @ $1.91 William Hill

3 units Baltimore Ravens – NE Patriots Under 44.5 @ $1.91 William Hill Best Bet

BB – Indicates Best Bet

Market Odds Comparison – a quick link to assist with the available odds across many possible providers – NFL Odds Comparisons

Staking: The recommended units bet is indicated next to each bet in the above bet list. The base bet is 1 to 5 units (and is also a reflection of confidence).


Bet Previews

Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Sure the Jags are on a 7-game losing streak, but Vikings are 1-6 in that span.  Both teams are 2-5 ATS in that span.  Clearly, the Vikes are way over-valued here.  Their D is without their best player (Harrison Smith) and their O is without theirs (no…not AP or Bridgewater….Center Joe Berger of course!).  Jacksonville sports an 11thranked D, so I like their chances of holding this terrible Vikings offense to few points.   Value is with a home underdog here.

Bet: 1 unit Jacksonville Jaguars +3 @ $2.10 William Hill


Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

If Browns are going to win a game this year, this has to be the game.  They are coming off a BYE.  They are getting RGIII back with two full weeks to practice and prepare.  They have healthy weapons on offense with Coleman and Pryor using the BYE week to rest up.  And Cleveland is facing Cincy, Hue Jackson’s former team.  I expect the Browns will be very motivated in this one, as no NFL team wants to finish winless on the year.  Besides, this is a weak Cincy squad they’re facing.  The D is terrible, there is zero pass-rush, and without AJ Green and Bernard, the passing options are limited for the offense.  The Bengals are off a home rout but don’t be fooled, that was against a regressing Eagles team.  Prior to that, Cincy was 1-5-1.  Browns get their first, and very possibly last, win in this one.

Bet: 1 unit Cleveland Browns +5.5 @ $1.91 William Hill


San Diego Chargers @ Carolina Panthers

I know the Chargers are traveling all the way from the West Coast for an early start game, but remember, the Panthers spent about a week-and-a-half out West, battling OAK and SEA the last two weeks.  They’re almost like a ‘west-coast’ team as well for this one. In any case, I’ll back the ‘better’ team in this one.  San Diego has been very unlucky early in the year, but they are a ‘playoff caliber’ squad.  Panthers are not.  Plus, without Keuchly, the best LB in the league, this defense stands no chance against Rivers and Co.  I like the Chargers to prevail here.

Bet: 1 unit San Diego Chargers +1.5 @ $1.92 Crown Bet


Atlanta Falcons @ Los Angeles Rams

I know Julio Jones is out (or going to be a decoy) but even still, we have a top-5 team going up against a bottom-5 team here.  Atlanta needs this win if they’re to make the playoffs, and I expect them to play well.  Fading Goff and Fisher is never a bad idea.

Bet: 1 unit Atlanta Falcons -5.5 @ $1.91 William Hill


Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots

Brady really hates ‘pressure’, and he’s going to see plenty of it against the Baltimore D.  Without Gronk, and with Bennett admitting to playing with an injury, the Pats simply aren’t as prolific offensively.  Baltimore has the #1 ranked run-D, and I expect them to effectively shut down the run game.  Expect the Patriots to have to sustain long, steady drives in order to put up points, and even then it won’t be easy.  On the other side, it shouldn’t take much to slow down this bottom-10 Ravens offense.  Pats do rank 4th against the run, thus I don’t see the Ravens having much success grinding out yards at will.  Expect a lot of punting in this one as I like a slow-paced, low scoring game.

Bet: 3 units Baltimore Ravens – NE Patriots Under 44.5 @ $1.91 William Hill Best Bet


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