A League Football 17 | Preview Week 4

A League Football 17 | Preview Week 4

A League Football 17 Preview Week 4

MrFootball provides A League Football Tips Previews content each week for our Reading The Play A League subscribers.


A League Football 17 Preview Wk 4


Sydney FC v Perth Glory

Stats

Just the 1 win for the Glory from the previous 9 clashes with Sydney FC (1-1-7)

Sydney have recorded 5 consecutive victories over the Glory

In 11 of the last 12 encounters the match goals have totalled 3 or more and this has also been the result in the previous 11 meetings at Allianz Stadium

Sydney has scored 3 or more goals in their last 5 matches against the Glory

Perth have won only 2 of their last 12 as a road outsider (2-5-5)

Sydney remain unbeaten in their last 17 A-League matches played at Allianz Stadium (14-3-0)

Sydney have scored the opening goal in 9 of their last 10 against the Glory at Allianz Stadium

Bobo scored in all 3 matches against Perth in the home and away Rounds last season

Preview

Sydney were a little unlucky last week in the Sydney Derby, coming from 2-0 down and almost pinching it late on but for a wayward Matt Simon header. Conversely, Perth Glory had to do it tough, trailing Central Coast 1-0 after 70mins, and securing all 3pts with an Adam Taggart winner in the 85th minute. Sydney are unbeaten in their last 19 games at home (16-3-0) and have won their last 5 on the bounce over Glory with an aggregate of 18-2. Sydney dropped points last week, and they won’t be dropping points this week. For mine, the Champions will be back to winning ways come 9:50PM on Friday Night. Can’t see any other result. A comfortable victory to Sydney in this one.


Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane Roar

Stats

There has been just 1 draw from the last 14 meetings between the Phoenix and the Roar

Only once from the last 12 clashes have the Roar led the Phoenix at half time (1-4-7)

In 10 of the last 12 meetings the total match goals have totaled 3 or more

3 straight losses for the Roar, who have also lost their last 4 games on the road

Krishna has scored in his last 2 matches against the Roar, but he has failed to find the back of the net in his last 6 matches at Westpac Stadium

Wellington and Brisbane are 2 of 4 remaining sides yet to register a win this season

Preview

Real tough game this one. Wellington at home against a desperate Brisbane outfit who are yet to secure a solitary point this season. I like what we’re seeing from the home side so far. A round 1 draw with the rejuvenated Adelaide United, going down to reigning champions Sydney FC 3-2 in round 2, and a tough 1-0 loss (dominated all the stats apart from the score line) away to league leaders Melbourne City last week. Brisbane have been probably the most disappointing side thru 3 rounds this year, and another loss will put Coach John Alosi further under the microscope. Phoenix are playing really attractive/attacking football and at home I think they have enough arsenal to put the fire out on the Roar. Brisbane certainly have the attacking prowess should they get it together to trouble Wellington, but I think it’s a matter of waiting for Brisbane to hit some form before falling into them. Like the Kiwis in this one.


Adelaide United v Melbourne City

Stats

The home team has won the last 4 meetings between City and United

10 of the previous 13 clashes have resulted in total match goals of 3 or more

The team to score the opening goal has gone on to win the last 7 of the last 8 encounters

Both teams have found the back of the net in 10 of the last 13 meetings, including 6 of the last 7 meetings at Coopers Stadium

Adelaide are the only side to have conceded the opening goal in all 3 Rounds

City have had total match goals of 3 or more in their last 10 away games

Adelaide have lost only 1 of their last 7 matches played at Coopers Stadium (3-3-1)

Preview

This appears to be a cracking contest on paper. Adelaide on the back of some great early season form, and a midweek FFA Cup semi-final win over the Western Sydney Wanderers, will relish being back at Hindmarsh. They are unbeaten in their last 5 at home (2-3-0) whilst City are looking to make it 4-wins in a row to start the season. If there is any team in the league who presently can handle playing their 3rd game in 8 days, it’s United. They appear to be by far and away the fittest team so far, and it’s little wonder as their German coach Marco Kurz had them training up to 3-times each day during the pre-season. The only downside from their FFA Cup win is the punctured lung to their Turkish defender Ersan Gulum who will be out for a period of time. I would expect Mark Ochieng to slot right in to the centre of defence for United. City Import Ross McCormack was the difference last week against the Phoenix, with his thunderous 69th minute strike the only difference between the two. With Johan Absalonsen leading the way for the reds up front, in front of a big crowd, I am leaning the way of Adelaide United to inflict City’s 1st loss of the season.


Newcastle Jets v Western Sydney Wanderers

Stats

Just the 1 win for the Jets from the last 9 clashes with Western Sydney (1-3-5), with the Wanderers winning 5 of the last 6 to go with 1 draw

The Wanderers have scored the opening goal in the last 5 meetings with Newcastle and have also led at half time in all 5

The Jets have kept a clean sheet in only 1 of the previous 15 meetings with the Wanderers

The Wanderers have kept a clean sheet in 4 of the last 5 meetings with the Jets

The Jets are yet to defeat the Wanderers at Hunter Stadium (0-2-5)

Newcastle has failed to score a 1st half goal in 6 of the 7 meetings with the Wanderers at Hunter Stadium

Preview

On paper this could be the match of the round. Newcastle have been outstanding early on, but this match will be missing one of the true stars of the A-League in Ronald Vargas. The Venezualan has been a key ingredient in the Jets early season form. His horrific injury last week brought coach Ernie Merrick to tears, and robbed all fans of one of the real drawcards of the A League for the remainder of season 17/18. Western Sydney will be disappointed that they handed up a 2-goal lead in the Sydney Derby last week along with a midweek FFA Cup loss to Adelaide United. They are undefeated in their last 6 games against the Jets (5-1-0) and have never lost at McDonald Jones Stadium when facing the Jets. But as we know, this version of the Jets is a much different one to the one the Wanderers have faced in recent years. Irishman Roy O’Donovan leads the league with 5-goals after 3 rounds and the Jets have had more shots at goal than any other side. Oriol Riera is also in fine form with the Spaniard netting in each of the 3 games played this season. Not much separating both sides and I’m going a draw in this one.


Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory

Stats

The Mariners are winless from the previous 12 clashes with the Victory (0-2-10)

Only once in the previous 13 clashes have the Mariners scored more than 1 goal against Melbourne

There have been 3 or more goals scored in 9 of the last 11 meetings

The Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5 matches played at Central Coast Stadium

The Victory have won only 1 of their last 9 matches played interstate (1-3-5), that win was against the Mariners

The Mariners have had Overs results in 8 of their last 10 games played at Central Coast Stadium

Berisha has been the 1st goal scorer of the match in 3 of the last 4 clashes with the Mariners

The Mariners have scored the opening goal in all 3 of their matches this season, but are yet to register a win, while they have won only 1 of their last 42 matches when conceding the opening
goal (1-9-32)

Preview

The boys from Gosford have been much better over the last couple of weeks and some may argue were unlucky not to win both games (against WSW & Glory). Paul Okon’s men have started to play the sort of football he wants them to play, and their high press in the opposition defensive third has really troubled teams, and led the Mariners to some real counter/attacking football. Melbourne Victory have started the season slowly, but there were encouraging signs last week coming from behind to claim their first point of the season against Adelaide United. Victory finished the game hard against the Reds, however in the end, the result was a fair one. Victory look resigned to missing their Albanian striker Besart Berisha for a number of weeks after he was cited for man handling the referee in last week’s game. Interesting to see who Kevin Muscat starts up front in his absence, but Paul Okon will be relieved at seeing the greatest goal scorer in A League history sitting on the sidelines. Tipping an upset in this, Central Coast to knock off the Victory.


Individual Game Tips

Sydney FC v Perth Glory – Sydney FC to win

Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane Roar – Wellington Phoenix to win

Adelaide United v Melbourne City – Adelaide United to win

Newcastle Jets v Western Sydney Wanderers – DRAW

Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory – Central Coast Mariners


A League Recommended Bets

Bet 2 units Sydney FC v Perth Glory – Sydney FC to win – TAB @ $1.60

Bet 1 unit Wellington Phoenix v Brisbane Roar – Wellington to win – Sportsbet @ $2.35

Bet 2 units Newcastle Jets v Western Sydney Wanderers – on Both Teams to score – CrownBet @ $1.50

Bet 1 unit Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory – Central Coast Mariners – Draw No Bet – Unibet @ $2.63


BB – Indicates Best Bet

Market Odds Comparison – a quick link to assist with the available odds across many possible providers – A-League Football Odds Comparisons

Staking: The recommended units bet is indicated next to each bet in the above bet list. The base bet is 1 to 5 units (and is also a reflection of confidence).


A-League Key Contest Stats

Kind thanks to Mark Hull a good friend of RTP and keen Sports follower who complies a weekly list of key stats and insights for each game. You can also follow Mark on Twitter here @FootyAssist


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