A League Football 17 | Preview Week 3

A League Football 17 | Preview Week 3

A League Football 17 Preview Week 3

MrFootball provides A League Football Tips Previews content each week for our Reading The Play A League subscribers.


A League Football 17 Preview Week 3


Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory

Stats

Just 1 win for Adelaide from the last 11 clashes with the Victory (1-3-7)

There have been total match goals of more than 2.5 in 8 of the last 11 match ups

Both teams have found the back of the net in 7 of the previous 9 meetings

The Victory have opened the scoring in 5 of the last 6 clashes

Only once in the previous 11 clashes have Adelaide led the Victory at half time (1-5-5)

The 1st road game of the season for the Victory, who won only 1 of their final 8 away games last season (1-2-5)

Adelaide are unbeaten in their last 7 A-League matches played at the Adelaide Oval (5-2-0)

The Victory are 1 of only 2 sides yet to post a win after the opening 2 Rounds

Preview

Traditionally a fixture that Melbourne Victory have dominated in recent times winning their last 3 on the bounce whilst Adelaide have only won once in the last 11 games played (1-3-7). Both sides come into this with contrasting results. The Reds will be bolstered with the inclusion of Algerian International Karim Matmour for this one, after being rested last week. United are unbeaten at Adelaide Oval, and whilst the Victory have had the wood on them recently, I like what Adelaide are doing thru the opening 2-weeks. Another key ingredient is how fit their German Coach Marco Kurz has them. Still not sold on how the Victory have started the season. I’m tipping Adelaide in a tight one.


Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix

Stats

Melbourne City have recorded 4 consecutive wins over Wellington

Just 1 win for the Phoenix from the previous 9 clashes with Melbourne City (1-2-6)

City have been 1st on the score board in 6 of the previous 7 meetings with the Phoenix

There have been 3 or more goals scored in 5 of the last 6 clashes

B2B away legs for the Phoenix who have won only 2 of their last 11 on the road (2-2-7)

Wellington have had Overs results in their last 9 away games at an average of 4

The Phoenix have lost 5 of their last 6 matches played at AAMI Park (1-0-5)

When scoring the 1st goal, City have lost only 1 of their last 18 matches at AAMI Park (14-3-1)

Preview

Along with Sydney FC, Melbourne City are the only team to record maximum points thru the opening 2-weeks. City were strong against the Roar in the opening round and continued their form last week in what was an impressive display in the Melbourne Derby. Wellington on the other hand were unimpressive in their opening game against Adelaide United, but were much better pushing reigning A-League Champions (Sydney FC) last week, narrowly going down 3-2. City welcome back Neil Kilkenny & Luke Brattan this week which further bolsters their squad, whilst the Phoenix welcome back Gui Finkler & Marco Rossi from injury, although lose Andrew Durante for 2-3 months with an abductor injury. He is a massive out defensively for the Nix. City have hit the ground running, and whilst I liked the attack minded football played by Wellington last week, on the road for a 2nd consecutive week, for mine I can’t see anything but a City victory in this one. City to win and win well.


Sydney FC v WS Wanderers

Stats

The Wanderers were the only side to defeat Sydney FC in season 16/17

That victory was the only win for the Wanderers from the previous 10 encounters (1-3-6)

In 8 of the last 11 clashes, the scores have been drawn at half time

3 of the previous 4 matchups have finished Unders for total match goals

B2B home games for Sydney who remain unbeaten in their last 16 A-League matches played at Allianz Stadium (14-2-0)

Sydney have conceded just 3 goals from the previous 6 meetings with the Wanderers

The 1st away game of the season for the Wanderers who are on the road for the next month, with 4 consecutive away legs

It’s almost 4 years since the Wanderers last beat Sydney at Allianz Stadium (October 26, 2013)

Preview

The 16th edition of the Sydney Derby in what will be a sold out Allianz Stadium on Saturday Night. The reigning AL Champions up against the only team to knock them off last year in the Western Sydney Wanderers who have recruited extremely well in the off-season. The bar has been set high at Moore Park, with the Sky Blues recruiting 40-cap Polish International Adrian Mierzejewski, and many believe this is a better side that swept all before them last year. Sydney are unbeaten in their last 16 games at Allianz (14-2-0), and whilst the WSW will be a side challenging for the title come season’s end, they are a couple of months from really hitting their straps. Michael Thwaite remains under an injury cloud for this game after going off with what appeared to be a slight hamstring niggle last week. If he doesn’t play, I’d expect Brendan Hamill to slot into the centre of the defence. He has been good for the red & black so far this season. Jonathan Aspropotamitis has been drafted into the squad and is the other obvious choice. Sticking with the Sky Blues in this one, we know what we’ll expect from them and whilst I would not be surprised if the Wanderers were to win, I feel they are still 4-6wks away from playing their best football. Sydney FC to win the Derby XVI.


Brisbane Roar v Newcastle Jets

Stats

The Jets have won only 1 of their last 4 matches played at Suncorp Stadium (1-1-2)

8 of the last 9 meetings have resulted in total match goals of 3 or more

The Roar have scored the opening goal in 7 of the last 9 meetings with the Jets

In 7 of the last 10 clashes, the scores have been drawn at half time

Both sides have found the back of the net in 7 of the last 8 meetings

The opening goal was scored inside 15 minutes in all 3 clashes last season

Brisbane have not lost B2B matches in their last 30 games played at Suncorp Stadium (20-6-4)

After recording a road win in Round 1, the Jets broke a 7 game losing run away from home and will be aiming for consecutive road wins for the 1st time 27 matches

Preview

The Roar searching for their first points of the season against the high flying, free flowing, goal scoring surprise packets so far in the Newcastle Jets. We also get to see for the first time Roar’s marquee signing in Eric Bautheac. The Frenchman comes to the A League with some huge wraps, some touting him as potentially the best Import we’ve seen. The attacking midfielder has an impressive CV coming via a couple of the French Heavyweights in Lille and Nice. Is a great striker of set pieces and his 1st touch and vision will lead many in awe this year. Trying to stop him this week is Ernie Merricks’s Jets. The Scotsman has his team flying and were unlucky not to claim all 3pts against Perth last week after conceding an injury time equaliser. They certainly have shocked many so far with how well they’ve gone, Ronald Vargas is pulling all the strings in midfield and with Roy O’Donovan banging them in for fun (4 goals in 2wks), I am really looking forward to this clash. Just have a feeling that Brisbane at home will get off the mark this week and hand the Jets their 1st loss of the season. Roar to win in a high scoring one.


Perth Glory v CC Mariners

Stats

Last season was the 1st time in 6 years that Perth failed to record at least 1 victory over the Mariners in a season

A win for the Mariners will make it 3 consecutive victories over the Glory for the 1st time in almost 10 years (November 18, 2007)

The 1st home game of the season for the Glory after B2B away legs and only once in the previous 11 seasons have they lost their opening home game (6-4-1)

In 9 of the last 12 meetings, the total match goals have totalled 3 or more

One side has kept a clean sheet in 3 of the last 4 encounters

The Mariners have scored the 1st goal in their opening 2 Rounds and on both occasions it was their Spanish import Asdrubal that has scored the goal

The Mariners have lost 20 of their last 25 matches played interstate (2-3-20)

Preview

Some encouraging signs for both teams last week. Perth fought valiantly to the end and managed an injury time equaliser against the high flying Jets, whilst Central Coast Mariners bounced back from their Round 1 debacle, and in the end were probably a little unlucky not to claim all 3pts against the Wanderers. Glory will welcome being back at home for their 1st home game of the season whilst it’s the first time we get to see the Mariners travel interstate this season. Never an easy trip Perth, and will look for Spanish Import Asdrubal to again lead from the front. For some reason, these two teams always happen to provide plenty of goals, and I think we can expect similar today. Really like the Glory at home in this one, and to claim 3pts for the 1st time this year. Perth to win in a goalathon.


Individual Game Tips

Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory – ADELAIDE

Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix – MELBOURNE CITY

Sydney FC v Western Sydney Wanderers – SYDNEY FC

Brisbane Roar v Newcastle Jets – BRISBANE

Perth Glory v Central Coast Mariners – PERTH GLORY


A League Recommended Bets

Bet 1 unit Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory – Both Teams to Score – Sportsbet @ $1.65

Bet 2 units Melbourne City to win (v Wellington Phoenix) – Unibet @ $1.51

Bet 2 units Perth Glory v Central Coast Mariners – Perth Glory to win – Sportsbet @ $1.67


BB – Indicates Best Bet

Market Odds Comparison – a quick link to assist with the available odds across many possible providers – A-League Football Odds Comparisons

Staking: The recommended units bet is indicated next to each bet in the above bet list. The base bet is 1 to 5 units (and is also a reflection of confidence).


A-League Key Contest Stats

Kind thanks to Mark Hull a good friend of RTP and keen Sports follower who complies a weekly list of key stats and insights for each game. You can also follow Mark on Twitter here @FootyAssist


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