NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting Round 24

nrl_tips_reading_the_play

NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting Round 24

MrG provides NRL Previews Sports Betting content each week for our Reading The Play NRL subscribers.


2016 – Profit +32.9 units | 73 winners / 125 bets | Strike Rate 58.4%

NRL 2016 Results File > RTP_NRL_Results_POT_2016


Rd 24 2016 Game Handicaps

MrG’s Ratings

-3.5 Broncos vs Bulldogs

-9.5 Panthers vs Tigers

+16.5 Knights vs Titans

+6.5 Eagles vs Storm

-11.5 Cowboys vs Warriors

-13.5 Raiders vs Eels

-6.5 Roosters vs Dragons

+8.5 Rabbits vs Sharks


NRL Round 24 Recommended Bet List

Bet 2 units Titans -13.5 $1.94 CrownBet

Bet 1 unit Eagles H2H $3.80 Sportsbet / William Hill

Bet 2 units Eagles +10.5 Sportsbet / William Hill

Bet 2 units Raiders-Eels over 42.5 $1.90 Topsport / Bet365 BB

Bet 1 unit Dragons +6.5 $1.95 Topsport

Bet 2 units Rabbits-Sharks under 41.5 Unibet $2.00 / Topsport

Premiership (21st July)

Bet 2 units Cowboys to win Premiership $5.00 Tabsportsbet

BB – Indicates Best Bet

Market Odds Comparison – a quick link to assist with the available odds across many possible providers – nrl-odds-comparisons

Staking: The recommended units bet is indicated next to each bet in the above bet list. The base bet is 1 to 5 units (and is also a reflection of confidence).


Individual Game Tips

Bulldogs, Panthers, Titans, Storm, Cowboys, Raiders, Roosters, Sharks


Game Previews

Note: FYI, with the introduction of Thursday night games (we will have 18 this season) it is now near impossible with the work and list of things that I chose to do to have all game previews written and finished until late in each week, as we also have a Monday night game and final team lists not announced until a Tuesday afternoon. So that you are aware I re rate all teams after each round based on current performance, then re rate based on team lists, then look to handicap each coming game then consider a range of form and match up factors towards any potential bets before writing each individual game preview last. I will then be attempting to write previews for any game that a recommended bet has been made for first so that any key factors and reasoning is then known in advance.

Key Contest Stats

Kind thanks to Mark Hull a good friend and keen NRL follower who complies a weekly list of key stats and insights for each game. You can also follow Mark on Twitter here @FootyAssist

Broncos vs Bulldogs

-3.5 Broncos

Stats

Top 6 clash kicks off Round 23 when the Broncos host the Bulldogs from Suncorp Stadium. Both sides have had plenty of ups and downs throughout 2016, but they are 2 of only 4 sides that haven’t been positioned out of the Top 8 all season. The Bulldogs were comprehensive winners when they last met in Round 16 and a win this week will make it both 3 in a row and 2 wins in a season over the Broncos for the 1st time since 2004. It’s the final away game of the regular season for Canterbury who has won 8 of their 11 away games and they have also won 3 of the last 4 clashes with the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium. The Dogs have won 7 of their last 8 but have been a 50/50 proposition against their Top 8 counterparts, winning 4 of 8, while their last win over Brisbane is their only win over a Top 8 side since Round 9. The Bulldogs remain 4th on the ladder, while they rank 7th in attack and 4th in defence, giving them a 94 point differential that rates 5th. They are a poor 7-14 ATS and have failed to cover in their last 6 straight, while they have also failed to cover in their last 3 on the road when getting a start. In TMP’s they are 11-10 Under, including their last 4 straight, while 7 of the last 9 clashes with the Broncos have also finished Unders, with only 2 of them topping 38. The Dogs have conceded the 1st try of the match in 6 of their last 8, while they have conceded 3 tries or more in 9 of their last 11. Brisbane has now recorded back to back wins but there are still plenty of questions marks over their form as they have lost 5 of their last 6 against sides currently in the Top 8, conceding and average of almost 40 points per game in the last 3 of those. However, they are at home for the 2nd week in a row with a full week to prepare, in front of a big crowd and now with some momentum so it’s now or never. They are 9-12 ATS and have covered in only 1 of their last 5 at Suncorp Stadium, while they have covered in only 1 of their last 9 against sides currently in the Top 8. Brisbane is 11-10 Over in TMP’s, with only 1 of their last 9 failing to top 40. A Broncos try has been the 1st scoring play in 4 of the last 5 against the Dogs, while they have scored the last try of the match in 6 of the previous 7 clashes. Corey Oates secured his 2nd hat trick of the season last week and he has been the 1st try scorer of the match in the last 2 clashes with the Bulldogs.

Preview

Very even match up for mine, and two teams that are difficult to get a quality handle on the strength of their form or consistency. The Broncos have won their last two, but that is glossed over somewhat by the fact that they got the Dragons on a bog wet track and then an ordinary Eels side who perform very poorly on distant away games. Yes we saw some positive glimpses last week, but this will be a very different forward, muscle and defensive opponent. The Bulldogs equally are difficult to read, they were there to be beaten last week, but somehow they just keep finding ways to win, and notably are normally good at lifting for the key games, and this is one of them. They whacked the Broncos up the middle earlier this yr, physically gave them a real work over and then dominated the game, and I lean to something similar unfolding here. Eastwood is a key in, he plays a very important role in this side, especially physically, and then they have size, strength and depth on the bench.

Slight lean to Bulldogs, they will be focused on a power muscle game through the middle, and I think they have a key edge in the size and top grade quality of their bench. Not a game I want to play in, if I was to look for an angle it would be total points under.


Panthers vs Tigers

-9.5 Panthers

Stats

The Tigers finals aspirations will go on the line when they travel to Pepper Stadium to take on a resurgent Panthers outfit. They do have a very good recent record over the Panthers in their favour, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings, including the last 3 match ups at Pepper Stadium, but it’s a tough run home for the Tigers who travel to Auckland after this match, before taking on the Raiders in the final Round. Their 3 game winning run came to a halt last week against the Titans and they will also be without Tedesco for the remainder of the season after he suffered a broken jaw. They are 4 & 6 on the road this season, while they have lost 10 of their last 13 away games when starting as an outsider. The Tigers are 10th on the ladder, with the 10th ranked attack, while they are 13th in defence, giving them a differential of -48 that rates 12th . They have won 10 of 13 this season when going to half time with a lead, while they have lost 7 from 7 when trailing at the break. The Tigers are 12-9 ATS, including covering in 6 of their last 7, while they have also covered in 5 of their last 6 as a road dog. In TMP’s they are 11-10 in favour of the Overs, but their last 4 have all finished Under, with none of them finishing higher than 40. Either Nofoaluma (2) or Naiqama (3) have been the Tigers 1st try scorer in the Tigers last 5 matches. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5 and their demolition job on the Knights last week ensured they were able to remain in 7th spot on the ladder. They have won 8 of their last 10 against sides ranked in the bottom half of the ladder, while they have also won 5 of 7 this year when starting as a home favourite. The Panthers rank 6th in attack and 8th in defence, while their 39 point differential rates 7th. They are 11-10 ATS but have covered in only 1 of their last 6 at Pepper Stadium. Penrith are 11-10 Over in TMP’s, with 6 of their last 8 against the bottom 8 sides finishing Overs. Josh Mansour is now the Panthers leading try scorer with 13 and he has scored 10 tries from his last 10 appearances for Penrith. Night matches with Jared Maxwell in charge are 10-1 Under this season.

Preview


Knights vs Titans

+16.5 Knights

Stats

It’s a must win game for the Titans when they travel to Hunter Stadium to take on the Knights as they look to keep their Finals aspirations alive. With their final 2 games against sides currently in the Top 8, a win against the Knights will see the pressure ease a little as they will only need to win 1 of their remaining 2 to ensure a Finals birth for the 1st time since 2010. The Knights hold a 9-6 all time advantage over the Titans and have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, while wins at Hunter Stadium have been split evenly since 2010, with both sides recording 3 wins a piece. The Titans come into this match with just 1 loss from their last 5 matches, including wins in their last 2 on the road and will be looking to record consecutive wins over the Knights for the 1st time in their history. They are currently in 8th spot, with an attack that ranks 9th and a defence ranking of 10th. They are the best cover side in the NRL, with a 15-6 ATS record but they are in unfamiliar territory this week, starting as a road favourite for only the 4th time in 3 seasons. In TMP’s they are 11-10 in favour of the Under, while 5 of the last 7 clashes with Newcastle have also finished Under. The Titans have won 7 from 7 this season with a half time lead and they have never lost to the Knights when leading at the break. Anthony Don is the Titans leading try scorer with 12 and he has scored a try in his last 5 appearances, while he has scored 4 tries in his last 4 games against the Knights, 2 of them as the 1st try scorer of the match. The Knights have now lost a club record 15 in a row and another loss this week will equal the longest losing streak by any team since 1993. Their last 4 defeats have all been by a margin of 13+, while they conceded the most 2nd half points of any side this season in last week’s loss to the Panthers, conceding 36 unanswered points after going to half time at 6 all. Newcastle is 8-13 ATS and has covered in only 3 of 6 at home with a double digit advantage in 2016. They are 12-9 Over in TMP’s, with 9 of their 11 previous matches against the Top 8 totaling 40 or more. The Knights have conceded the 1st try of the match in 12 of their last 13 and in their last 5 they haven’t scored more than 6 1st half points. In 5 of the last 6 meetings, the winning margin has been by 13+, while only once in the 15 previous encounters has the half time leader been run down.

Preview

Knights have now lost their last 15 straight and conceded all but 30 points or more at their last 4 games, the end of season can’t come quick enough for them. They rolled over meekly in the 2nd 40 last week, and while Brown will be into them to stick to the task for 80 this week if the Titans can crack them a few times and take any spirit out of them quickly then this should be one way traffic again. Knights also have further key outs with Mullen and Sione Mata’utia.

Titans got themselves back on the board with a tough late away win last week and still remain in finals contention. Roberts looks like playing and Ash Tayor resting, still a strong line up and halves combination and I’d suggest against a weaker defensive offering Hayne can have a big influence here.

I have the Titans rated slightly higher than the Panthers at this stage of the season, the Panthers were suited with the game style last week and did a number on their opponent, I think the Titans measure up with a similar position here and am keen to be with them to cover the line.

Bet 2 units Titans -13.5 $1.94 CrownBet


Eagles vs Storm

+6.5 Eagles

Stats

Another chapter to one of the great modern day rivalries will be written when the Sea Eagles host the Storm at Brookvale Oval. The Storm are on a short 5 day turn around and are on the road for the 2nd week in a row after the Raiders bashed the ladder leaders from pillar to post on Monday night and it could be more of the same here with a Manly side looking to cause as much damage as they can to those who are Finals bound. It’s more than 12 months since these sides last met when the Sea Eagles made it back to back wins to give them an opportunity this week to make it 3 straight for the 1st time in 10 years. There has been little between these sides since the 2008 Grand Final, with both sides recording 7 wins each, to go with the 1 draw, while 5 of the last 6 encounters have been decided by 3 points or less. Manly come into this match in 11th spot and will miss the Top 8 for the 2nd year in a row, they also rank 11th in both attack and defence. They had won 4 straight before suffering narrow losses in their last 2, a 1 point loss to the Eels and a Golden Point loss to the Dogs which all but ended any slim Finals chances they were clinging to. Manly is 10-11 ATS and have covered in 6 of their last 7, including their last 3 home games, while they have also covered in the last 3 clashes with Melbourne. They are 12-9 Under in TMP’s, with 4 of their last 5 finishing that way. The Sea Eagles have won 6 of 8 with a half time lead, but have lost 10 of 12 when trailing at the break. Manly has scored the opening points of the match in 10 of the last 12 clashes with the Storm who have conceded 1st points in their last 4 straight. Last week’s loss will have taken plenty out of the Storm, who have lost 9 of their last 11 in leg 2 of back to back away games since 2012. They conceded more than 20 points for the 1st time this season, while it was their fewest points in attack since Round 4. Melbourne still remains at the top of the ladder and are still the Number 1 ranked defensive side, while they are 5th in attack. The Storm are 11-10 ATS, with a 6-5 cover record on the road, but have failed to cover in their last 4 away games when laying more than a converted try. In TMP’s they are the Number 1 Unders side, with a 16-5 result, including their last 5 straight, none of which have topped 36. Only once in the last 6 clashes with Manly have Melbourne led at half time and they have also trailed at the break in their last 6 matches at Brookvale Oval.

Preview

While the Eagles are not rolled gold good things here they are certainly a live chance and I want to be with the risk as I think they get a few major things in their favour and then get their opponent on possibly the right week. Eagles should well have won their last two, they didn’t but I like the fact that they are competing, are up for the contest and giving it their best shot, plus those two positive efforts were on the road and they now get a home gig at a venue to advantage (Brookvale). Fine mine we then add in the fact to my eye the Storm look very venerable here, they were physically whacked last night, really worked over and then have a short turn around of 5 days into another away game into Sydney. This is a stand out issue for mine, physically being whacked and worked over last night as they were and then having to come up quickly into short turn around and away game. Without factoring in the physical confrontation and with a couple of Eagles outs I still only handicap this at 6.5 / 8 pts. Storm can win, they are top of the table, but as we saw last night not infallible but a decent risk, Eagles form is ok, Brookvale huge advantage, I want to be with the risk.

Bet 1 unit Eagles H2H $3.80 Sportsbet / William Hill

Bet 2 units Eagles +10.5 Sportsbet / William Hill


Cowboys vs Warriors

-11.5 Cowboys

Stats

The final match on Super Saturday sees the Cowboys return home where they will take on the Warriors. The Cowboys have won the last 2 meetings with the Warriors and will be looking to make it 3 straight for the 1st time since 2008 and in the process snap a 3 game losing streak that has seen them drop from 3rd to 5th. Wins have been shared equally since 2009 with both sides recording 5 wins a piece, while wins in Townsville have been hard to come by for the Warriors, who have won only 1 of their last 10 matches at 1300SMILES Stadium since 2003. The Cowboys will be looking to get things back on track after a couple of tired looking efforts on the road. They have won 9 of 10 at home this season with their only blemish their last start against the Storm and they haven’t lost consecutive home games since Round 2 last year. Despite failing to score more than 14 points in 4 of their last 5, North Queensland are still ranked 2nd in attack, while their defence and differential both rank 3rd They are 10-11 ATS and have covered in only 3 of their last 12, but have covered in 5 of their last 6 at home when laying a double digit start. In TMP’s they are 13-8 Under, with their last 6 straight finishing that way, while they are split evenly at home with a 5-5 result. A Cowboys try has been the 1st scoring play in 9 of their 10 home games, while Antonio Winterstein has been the Cowboys 1st try scorer in 3 of their last 4 at home. The Warriors are coming off their 3rd biggest loss of the season, which was against a Rabbitohs side that had lost 9 in a row. They have won only 4 of 11 as the away side this season, while they have won only 2 of 7 on the road against the Top 8. The Warriors have now dropped out of the Top 8 after last week’s loss with the 8th ranked attack, while their defence is ranked 13th. Like the Cowboys, the Warriors are 10-11 ATS and they have covered in 4 of their last 5 away games. They are 12-9 Under in TMP’s, with 6 of their last 8 finishing that way, while they have had Unders results in 5 of their last 6 on the road with a start of more than a converted try. A Warriors try has been the 1st scoring play in the last 3 clashes with the Cowboys, while Solomone Kata has scored a double in his last 2 matches. In 8 of the last 9 night matches refereed by Ashley Klein, the TMP’s have finished Overs.

Preview

Two teams coming of poor performances I’m happy to just be watching here. Everything suggests the Cowboys should win, and likely cover, they have a stunning home track record return home off 2 away games and surely improve off two losses. The issues are a little hard to read at present, my guess is they have been playing on some heavy legs after a number of weeks of heavy fitness work and they’ll start to turn this around into the final few weeks and the start of the finals, but time will tell.

The Warriors, well what does one say. When no expectation two weeks ago they aim up for an away win over the Titans, a good strong tough win, yet a week later when short priced favs back at home against a side who had lost their prior 9 straight they roll over pathetically and concede 41 points with ease. Back into a game with little expectation if would not surprise to see them have a go, but gee they are hard to trust.

Cowboys back at home to win, but I just want to watch what unfolds and what teh quality of play and execution from both sides looks like.


Raiders vs Eels

-13.5 Raiders

Stats

After knocking over the top 2 sides in their last 2 matches, the Raiders will play their final home game of the regular season against a Parramatta side that has finally wilted in what has been a very difficult year. Canberra are surging towards the Finals Series, with 10 wins from their last 11 matches, while a win over the Eels will make it 8 consecutive wins for the 1st time in 21 years. The Raiders were outstanding on Monday night and anything near that performance again will seem them winning comfortably but they will have to do it without Josh Hodgson who will miss his 1st game of the season and he has been an integral part of their success. Canberra has won 6 of their last 8 matches against the Eels and 9 of the last 10 clashes at GIO Stadium, with the Eels recording just 1 win at the ground in 15 years. The Raiders have won their last 7 straight as a starting favourite, while they have won their last 5 against sides currently in the bottom 8. Canberra remain in 3rd spot for the 3rd week in a row with the best attacking record in the NRL, averaging almost 27 points a game, while they are ranked 6th defensively with a 166 point differential that ranks 4th. They are 14-7 ATS and have covered in 11 of their last 14, including 5 of their last 7 at home, but they have failed to cover in 5 of their last 7 when laying a start of more than a converted try. In TMP’s they continue to be the Number 1 Overs side in the comp, producing a 15-6 result, with 9 of those coming from their last 11 matches. The Raiders are also a big Overs side in day games, going 11-2 Over in 2016, with a 30-10 record in day games since 2014, while the last 3 clashes with the Eels have also finished Over. A Raiders try has been the 1st scoring play in 9 of the previous 11 meetings with the Eels. The Eels have now lost 4 of their last 5 and their last 4 straight away from home, in a year that promised so much, they will have little to show for what has been an amazing effort. From Rounds 4 to 17 they were never out of the Top 8 but since being stripped of their 12 competition points that are now languishing in 14th spot. Their unadjusted attack and defence rankings are 14th and 5th but they have conceded an average of 24 points a game since Round 18. The Eels are 12-9 ATS and have covered in 4 of their last 5 with a double digit advantage. They are 13-8 Under in TMP’s, while 5 of their last 7 day games on the road have finished Over. The 1 st try of the match has been scored by the 5th minute in 4 of the Eels last 5 games.

Preview

I think the likely game profile and circumstances suit plenty of points. The Raiders certainly should win, come off a very impressive win last Monday night (and prior strong form line), stay at home and should be able to open this game up. They should be very buoyed with belief and confidence off these last two wins. They might though be slightly venerable to some let down and more relaxed defence, and so see points either way.

We touched on the Eels distant away record last week, which is very poor, and they compounded quickly into the second half last week. They face a second week on the road into another out of Sydney away game, but they can shift the ball with Radradra back and a possibly more open defensive offering I think they look like having some points to offer. 4 of last 5 away games have all gone over with average totals each over 50 points, while at their last 4 away games they have been conceding 30 odd points.

The Raiders are the best overs team in the comp, especially at home day games, and will come into this off a short turn around and risk of leaking as well as scoring. Looks a perfect game for plenty of points, could well be 50 or so, I like the overs.

Bet 2 units Raiders-Eels over 42.5 $1.90 Topsport / Bet365 BB


Roosters vs Dragons

-6.5 Roosters

Stats

The 2nd and final match of Round 24 featuring 2 last start winners sees the Roosters host the Dragons from Allianz Stadium. Both sides are coming off their best performances of the season but both have little to play for other than bragging rights with both sides out of Finals contention. The Roosters have won 6 of the last 8 clashes with the Dragons, as well as winning 5 straight outside of the traditional Anzac Day clash. They are at home for the 2nd week in a row in what is their final home game of the season as they look for back to back wins for the 1st time in 2016. Both sides have struggled to score points this season and that’s reflected in the rankings, with the Roosters ranked 13th, while the Dragons rank 2nd last, averaging less than 14 points a game. Points have also been at a premium in recent clashes between the 2 sides, with 4 of the last 6 totaling 38 or less. The Roosters are 8-13 ATS but have covered in 5 of their last 7 at home, while they have covered in 7 of their last 10 at home when favoured by more than a converted try. In TMP’s they are 14-7 Over, with 5 of their last 7 totaling 40 or more. A Roosters try has been the 1st scoring play in 7 of the last 8 non Anzac Day clashes with the Dragons who have conceded the 1st try of the match in 5 of their last 6. The Dragons snapped a 5 game losing streak when they defeated the Sharks last week but they are on the road this week where they have only managed 2 wins from 10 matches all season, while they have won only 1 of their last 15 matches as a road outsider. They are 11-10 ATS, but have covered in only 3 of their last 9 away from home. In TMP’s they are 15-7 Under, with a 7-3 Under record on the road, while they are 14-5 Under as a road outsider since 2015. In 5 of the Dragons 10 away games they have failed to score a 1st half try, while they have lost 12 of 13 this season when trailing at half time and they have trailed to Roosters at the break in 7 of the last 9 clashes. The home side has won 14 of the last 17 matches this season when Matt Cecchin has been in charge.

Preview

Another game I don’t like. Right now it’s impossible to draw an conclusion through the last start wins by both sides. The Roosters have been bottom 4, granted they got some key ins back and were at home but then soundly beat the Cowboys. Dragons decide 23 weeks into the season to pull some ball play and shift out of tehir you know where and rattle up 32 points against the team sitting 2nd…. Please, reading tea leaves would be easier than this right now.

Slight lean to the Roosters being at home and that same list as last week, lets see if the Dragons keep the shackles off an have a dip with the ball. Roosters but don’t like the game.

Sunday morning update: My mail is Roosters may have had a heavy dose of the flu through the place this week with numerous players missing training and possibly might not be in their best fitness condition (or some risk) into this game, worth a small play in open game.

Bet 1 unit Dragons +6.5 $1.95 Topsport


Rabbits vs Sharks

+8.5 Rabbits

Stats

Round 24 draws to a close with the Rabbitohs hosting the Sharks from ANZ Stadium. The Rabbitohs shocked all last week in their 1st half demolition of the Warriors, while the Sharks also shocked plenty when they went down to the Dragons. Cronulla has won 3 of the last 4 clashes with the Rabbitohs, including a dominant performance in their recent meeting in Week 1 of last year’s Final Series, while wins have been shared equally since 2010, with both sides recording 5 wins each. In 5 of the last 6 meetings the TMP’s have finished Under, while only once in the previous 8 clashes have the TMP’s totaled more than 40. The Rabbitohs ended their 9 game losing run and will be looking for back to back wins for the 1st time since May. They will need to overcome a diabolical record against sides currently in the Top 8 though as they have lost 9 from 9 previously. Souths are 13th on the ladder, with an attack that ranks 12th, while they are the 2nd worst defensive team in the NRL, conceding an average of 24.8 points per game. They are 8-13 ATS and have covered in only 2 of 9 against the Top 8, while they have covered in only 1 of their last 8 at ANZ Stadium where they have lost 7 of their last 8 and conceded 30 or more in their last 4 at the ground. In TMP’s they are 13-8 Over, with 5 of their last 6 at ANZ Stadium also finishing Over, while 6 of their last 8 games of MNF have finished Under. Souths have conceded the 1st try of the match in 12 of their last 14 at ANZ Stadium, while they have also conceded the 1st try in 11 of the last 15 clashes with the Sharks. The Sharks are now without a win from their last 3 matches but remain in 2nd spot and in the hunt for the Minor Premiership. They are ranked 2nd in attack and 3rd in defence with a differential that also rates 2nd. Last week’s defeat was their only loss from their past 8 matches against a bottom 8 opponent. Cronulla are 12-9 ATS but have failed to cover in their last 3 straight. In TMP’s they are 11-10 Under and 10-4 Under since 2015 in night games as a starting favourite. The Sharks are undefeated in MNF this year, with 4 wins and a draw. The team to score the 1st points of the match has also gone on to win the last 8 encounters. MNF is 15-7 Under this season, while the home team has failed to cover in 9 of the last 10 matches where Ben Cummins has been in charge.

Preview

I like the Sharks to be winning but also think the markets have the line right. The Rabbits come through losing 9 straight and then touching up the Warriors last week, but I really have my doubts over the strength and quality of that game, the Warriors were just terrible and went on to leak 41 points. They have then come out last night and been comfortably touched up by the Cowboys, again leaking plenty of soft points (and scoring little themselves). They do have an improved list, and return home off two away games, but they are hard to have having lost 9 of 9 against top 8 sides season to date and losing 7 of their last 8 at Homebush. Reynolds is also in doubt.

The Sharks come off another questionable game that I also am happy to forgive, beaten well at Kogarah by Dragons. The Dragons pulled something out of their backside, have reverted to norm Sunday and been flogged by Roosters and Sharks have probably had some excuses through recent weeks. It’s common knowledge that the Origin schedule had shortened them up a little into the last month and that they had not had a “normal” week of team training for some 8 weeks. They looked flat last week, possibly heavy legs, and faded into the second 40. They have now gone into a 3 day out of Sydney team camp to prepare for this game and the weeks ahead and get themselves back on track. I expect that they will, and win.

Being a Monday night game and with expected improvement and focus from the Sharks I like the unders angle here. Prior to their recent lapse their defence has been their strength holding teams to 12 to 14 pts, and winning. Off a 3 game losing streak, into camp, I’m sure rolling their sleeves up and just focusing of tough defence will be their goal (and winning), and their record is very strong at 10 of last 14 night games under when starting fav. The Rabbits have a similar record for Monday night games, with 6 of their last 8 finishing under. Should Reynolds not play then this would only be further enhanced. My workings have the total game points approx 32 to 36, with a Sharks win something like 22-12, think the 40.5 looks a touch too high and want to be with teh under. Rain is also forecast for Monday in Sydney.

Bet 2 units Rabbits-Sharks under 41.5 Unibet $2.00 / Topsport



Twitter

Follow us on Twitter at

@readingtheplay

©Copyright Reading The Play

All care taken. No responsibility accepted. Please check all information at your own discretion. Any prices quoted for suggested bets are accurate at the time of writing. For personal use ONLY. This information may not be reproduced in any way whatsoever or re-used for any purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of Reading The Play.

NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2016 Round 24

Mr.G provides our NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting

Having coached at a senior level for 16 years including 3 years on the coaching staff of an NRL club Mr G is an avid student of the game. He’s coached sides to win titles at a senior level, run the football arm of a successful district club, managed professional players and worked in various development roles, so it’s fair to say the game of Rugby League is certainly in his blood and supports an experienced and unique offering.

Mr G’s NRL previews and betting tips combine this knowledge and ‘read’ of the current weekly form with a statistical and betting analysis to provide his followers with a unique and successful approach. He spends hours each week watching and reviewing each and every game assessing the strengths and weakness of the form to then weigh against that of the betting markets. His previews and betting tips have been published on the internet via two sports forums for 7 years prior to his public offering through Reading The Play.

MrG’s recommended weekly game by game previews and any recommended betting plays for this individual round are listed here. Each NRL Preview and Sports Betting Tips message thread will normally open on a Thursday and list any early game ratings and betting plays. It will be updated each day and then detailed game by game Previews, Ratings and final Bet List will be published online by 8am on the morning of the first game of the round (Fridays). All subscribers can also receive all recommended bets via sms message.

Subscription Options

A range of subscription packages are available to suit everyone (from as low as $16 a week), Weekly, Multi 5 Week, Season Pass and or various combinations with our other website offerings of AFL or Horse Racing.

Published on in NRL.