NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2016 Round 20

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NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2016 Round 20

Mr.G provides our subscribers with his NRL tips game previews sports betting tips.


2016 – Profit +32.9 units | 73 winners / 125 bets | Strike Rate 58.4%

NRL 2016 Results File > RTP_NRL_Results_POT_2016


Rd 20 Game Handicaps

MrG’s Ratings

-10.5 Cowboys vs Bulldogs

-8.5 Broncos vs Panthers

-9.5 Raiders vs Warriors

-10.5 Titans vs Eels

-14.5 Storm vs Roosters

-28.5 Sharks vs Knights

+5.5 Dragons vs Tigers

+5.5 Rabbits vs Eagles


NRL Round 20 Recommended Bet List

Bet 1 units Panthers H2H $3.75 William Hill

Bet 2 units Panthers +10.5 $1.90 TabSportsbet

Bet 2 units Titans -4.5 $1.87 Sportsbet / -5.5 $1.88 William Hill

Bet 3 units Tigers -4.0 $1.90 William Hill / CrownBet -4.5 $1.90 Sportsbet BB

Bet 1 unit Sharks -23.5 $1.92 CrownBet / Ubet

Bet 2 units Cowboys to win Premiership $5.00 Tabsportsbet

Premiership Bet

My current ratings out of 10

9.55 Cowboys
9.40 Storm
9.25 Sharks
9.20 Broncos
8.90 Bulldogs
Daylight

I expect the top 3 are the only live chances, with significant risk against the Sharks. While on this wonderful winning roll and full of belief there has to be some risk against finals inexperience and more importantly in finals footy their want to continually offer dumb penalties and ill discipline. Storm have been building nicely, very solid, key experience and they lift for the big games (beat Cows in Brisbane, flogged Broncos, etc). But I keep coming back to the Cowboys, right now I think they are an approx $3.25 chance and we can get $5.00, clearly they have now been there done that but I believe they are a 10 to 20% better side this yr now that they have that belief, they amazingly have all but to a man the same side, they have depth, will finish top 4 (or top 2) and get the potential rails run through. I think $5.00 is about the top of the market and is likely to now keep firming into September, unscathed out of Origin I want to have a small long term interest with them.

I think the Broncos are long gone and would be very very surprised if they could resurrect their season. Halves, notably Hunt way out of form, bench depth very thin on quality, major left edge defensive issues. Bulldogs, Hasler has this magic through August and September most years, I don’t like their halves, but their best can compete, nice test in Townsville Thursday night.

BB – Indicates Best Bet

Market Odds Comparison – a quick link to assist with the available odds across many possible providers – nrl-odds-comparisons

Staking: The recommended units bet is indicated next to each bet in the above bet list. The base bet is 1 to 5 units (and is also a reflection of confidence).


Individual Game Tips

Cowboys, Broncos, Raiders, Titans, Storm, Sharks, Tigers, Eagles


Game Previews

Note: FYI, with the introduction of Thursday night games (we will have 18 this season) it is now near impossible with the work and list of things that I chose to do to have all game previews written and finished until late in each week, as we also have a Monday night game and final team lists not announced until a Tuesday afternoon. So that you are aware I re rate all teams after each round based on current performance, then re rate based on team lists, then look to handicap each coming game then consider a range of form and match up factors towards any potential bets before writing each individual game preview last. I will then be attempting to write previews for any game that a recommended bet has been made for first so that any key factors and reasoning is then known in advance.

Key Contest Stats

Kind thanks to Mark Hull a good friend and keen NRL follower who complies a weekly list of key stats and insights for each game. You can also follow Mark on Twitter here @FootyAssist

Cowboys vs Bulldogs

-10.5 Cowboys

Stats

It’s a Top 4 clash to kick off Round 20 when the Bulldogs travel to North Queensland to take on the Cowboys. The Bulldogs have won 6 of the last 9 clashes with the Cowboys, including 3 of the last 4 meetings played in Townsville, with the Cowboys only H2H win at the ground since 2007 coming from the most recent encounter. It’s the 1st time in more than 3 months that the Bulldogs have had to play a distant fly away match where they have struggled for wins in recent years, winning only half of their matches played outside of NSW since 2010 (15 from 30). They have won only 8 of their last 15 as a road dog and have opened at a H2H price of more than $2 for only the 4th time this season. Canterbury ranks 5th in attack, while the have the 4th best defensive record and their differential of 109 also ranks 4th . The Bulldogs have a 7-10 record ATS with a 5-4 cover record on the road, while they have covered in 5 of their last 7 away from home when getting a start of more than a converted try. They are 10-7 Over in TMP’s with their last 7 all going Over and 5 of those 7 have topped 50. It’s now 15 weeks since the Bulldogs last trailed at half time and no side has scored more 1st half points than the Dogs. In 7 of their last 8 away games the 1st try of the match has been scored by the 8th minute, with the Bulldogs scoring the 1st try in 5 of those. The Cowboys are 1 of 2 sides that remain undefeated at home this season, winning 8 from 8 and they have also won 9 of their last 10 when starting as a favourite. They will be fresh off the break and have won 9 of their last 11 off a Bye, while they also have a key in with Michael Morgan set to return after missing their last 3 matches. The Cowboys rank 3rd in attack and 2nd in defence, while their differential of 173 ranks 3rd . North Queensland is 9-8 ATS, with a 5-3 cover record at home and they have covered in 8 of their last 11 when laying a start. In TMP’s they are 9-8 Under, with 6 of their last 8 totaling 38 or less. A Cowboys try has been the 1st scoring play in all 8 of their home games in 2016, while Gavin Cooper leads the way as the Cowboys as 1st try scorer, scoring the 1st try of the match on 4 occasions this season. A great way to start the Round and if history is anything to go by it shapes as a tight tussle with 8 of the previous 9 meetings having been decided by a margin of 1-12 points.

Preview

Looks a really good contest. Which ever way I dice the numbers I have the Cows with an approx 10 point handicap advantage here, but its a game best watched for reference and learning right at this stage. The Cowboys have 6 key players off the back of Origin, and one of the things that we may see through this and the next few weeks is a few of the contenders tapering their fitness work in prep for September, which can mean additional fitness loading and tired legs while they then adjust their run into mid August.

The Cows have a super home record and are shooting for a club record winning streak. Bulldogs have won their last 4 but have some question marks over some of that form, BUT Hasler is a master of setting his troops for these big games and they do have a good record in Townsville. Excellent contest in the middle, two big front rows, both have ball play on the edges, but the Cowboys have the brains and smarts in the halves and that should be the difference.

Cowboys to win, no interest, if I was doing anything maybe link them straight out to be winning.


Broncos vs Panthers

-8.5 Broncos

Stats

The only match of the Round featuring 2 last start winners sees the Brisbane Broncos face the Penrith Panthers at Suncorp Stadium in Friday Night Football. Home ground advantage has been beneficial when these sides have met recently with the home team winning 8 of the last 9 matches. The Panthers have won 3 of the last 4 clashes, while the Broncos have won 5 of the last 6 clashes played at Suncorp Stadium. It’s the 1st game back at Suncorp Stadium since Brisbane were embarrassed by the Storm 3 weeks ago in what was their biggest ever loss at the venue. The Broncos have won 6 of their 8 matches against sides currently sitting outside the 8 and they have also won 7 of 9 at Suncorp Stadium. They rank 6th in attack and 7th in defence, while their 99 point differential ranks 5th. Brisbane is 8-9 ATS but they have covered in 8 of their last 10 at Suncorp when laying a double digit start. They are 9-8 Under in TMP’s, while 4 of their last 5 have finished Over, with 3 of them topping 44. The Broncos have scored the 1st try of the match in 8 of their 9 games at Suncorp Stadium this season. Corey Oates is the Broncos leading try scorer with 12 and he has been the Broncos last try in his previous 3 matches against the Panthers. The Panthers remain out of the Top 8 in 9th spot and are 1 of 4 teams with 20 points in a mid-table log jam. They are on a 5 day turn around and have lost 9 of 14 since 2012 on a short back up. Penrith have lost 5 of 8 as the away side as well as losing 6 of 8 against teams currently in the Top 8. They rank 11th in defence, while both their attack and differential rank 10th. The Panthers are 8-9 ATS, with a 3-2 cover record as a road dog, but they have failed to cover in their 5 matches played interstate. They are 9-8 Under in TMP’s, with a 6-4 Under record away from Pepper Stadium. The Panthers have had 15 matches decided by 1-12 points, while the previous 3 clashes with the Broncos have been decided by 3 points or less. Josh Mansour has now scored 6 tries in his last 6 appearances for the Panthers and is their leading try scorer with 9. The home side has failed to cover in 11 of the last 12 matches with Matt Noyen as an assistant referee

Preview

I read somewhere yesterday someone saying after watching the Broncos win last week they were back!! Not sure what he was watching, as they are still a huge risk here and I’m staggered they are $1.26 favs. They were as scratchy as anything last week and were lucky to be running through a Rabbits list that was as thin as and who have been on a long losing streak of their own. They still have key outs, major problems on their left edge and are playing 5 youngsters who have not made an impact or indeed really come up at this level as expected. They have been nothing like the Broncos of this time last yr, and Bennett knows full well he really has his hands full turning this around.

Clearly the Panthers have also been scratchy, but I have a similar theory on them as with the Warriors, they don’t like playing with expectation or favourtism. Yes they also have some other issues, notably playing in and out of games (turning on and off), some key players out of position and their youth and inexperience, but they do have patches of brilliance and in managed and directed can turn a game on its head in minutes. They turned the Eagles game on its head, did something similar last Sunday after half time, they have that in them. Through recent weeks they have been poor, slow starters, in and out of games, lazy periods, but in each game they were expected to win, very warm favs yet clearly complacent. They have actually started favs and expected winners at their last 5 winning just 3. But now they are despised outsiders given little chance, but I think that’s the trick with them, unlike many other sides who are significant outsiders due to being legless we know what the Panthers have in them and I expect without that expectation they’re a good chance to aim up here and give this a shake.

I think the market has this priced way too far apart, on a false sense of the Broncos by name and reputation and not necessarily current form. I want to be with the plus start, but wait till Friday afternoon to bet, as I expect the Friday rush will push it further and we can take +12.0 or better.

The serious money keeps coming for the Panthers, line has moved from 11.5 to 8.5 on Pinnacle already and I would suggest will now keep firming elsewhere, lets take the 10.5, also a small interest at the H2H price which I think is way too long and offers some value in a game where I give the Panthers some significant hope of the upset.

Bet 1 units Panthers H2H $3.75 William Hill

Bet 2 units Panthers +10.5 $1.90 TabSportsbet


Raiders vs Warriors

-9.5 Raiders

Stats

The 2nd and final match of the Round featuring 2 Top 8 opponents sees the Raiders host the Warriors from GIO Stadium in the Nation’s Capital. The Raiders ended a 5 game losing run when they last met the Warriors and a win this week will be the 1st time since 2012 that Canberra has beaten the Warriors twice in a season. Only once since these sides last met in Round 11 have the Raiders tasted defeat, recording 6 wins from 7 matches, including their last 4 at home. The Raiders continue to hold down 5th spot on the ladder, they are ranked 7th in points conceded, while they rank 2nd in attack, averaging 25 points a game and this improves to almost 30 PPG when playing at home. They are the 2nd best cover team in the NRL behind the Titans, with an 11-6 record ATS, while they are 6-3 when covering at home. Canberra has the 2nd highest TMP average in the comp, producing a 12-5 Over result and a 7-2 Over record at home at an average of 50, while 6 of their last 7 have topped 44. No side has scored more 2nd half points than the Raiders and they haven’t been outscored in the 2nd half in their last 10 matches. The Raiders have scored the last try of the match in 4 of their last 5 at home. Jarrod Croker and Jordan Rapana are the leading try scorers for the Raiders, with each of them crossing on 11 occasions. Its back to back road games for the Warriors after losing to the Sea Eagles in Golden Point last week. They have now lost 4 of their last 5 away games to be 3 & 6 on the road season to date and while they have won their last 2 at the ground, wins in Canberra have also proven difficult, with just 3 wins in 20 years. The Warriors rank 7th in attack but are 12th defensively and are 1 of 2 sides in the Top 8 with a negative differential. They are 7-10 ATS, with a 4-5 cover record on the road and have failed to cover in 7 of their last 9 away games when getting a start. In TMP’s they are 10-7 Over and 6-3 Over as an away side, while their last 4 matches have all finished Under. Only 5 times this season have the Warriors led at half time and they have gone on to win 4 of those, while they have lost 9 of 11 when trailing at the break. Solomone Kata is the Warriors leading try scorer with 10, but he hasn’t scored a try in his last 4 matches.

Preview

Nice test for both sides. For the Warriors they face back to back distant road games and having to aim up post Origin which they have failed to do each of the last 4 years. The Raiders have been good at home winning 7 of last 9 but face some expectation here, sitting in the top 8 they are expected to win and need to do so to stay competitive.

The trick with this game is they are each likely to suck the other into playing up tempo, quick ruck speed, multiple off loads and ball movement and each run the risk of playing the game at hand and making multiple errors, both with the ball and defensively. Often it can turn into more of a game of touch footy than smart game plan.

I expect the Raiders win, and should cover the line, but they style of game lends itself to risk that I am happy to stay out of. It does look a points feast, but 48 is a decent number to chase and I think there are better betting opportunities elsewhere to work around this week.


Titans vs Eels

-10.5 Titans

Stats

Off field dramas continue to dominate the headlines for Parramatta who will again be without key play maker in Corey Norman when they travel to the glitter strip to take on the Titans. The Eels got the chocolates when they last met the Titans in Darwin to record just their 2nd win from the last 7 clashes with the Gold Coast side. Parramatta has lost 2 of their last 3 and with their finals hopes now gone, it might be a big ask to keep fronting up like they have been. They have conceded an average of 24 points a game from their last 3 matches, which is 10 points more than they had averaged in their 14 matches prior. They have lost 6 of their last 8 as a road dog, 5 of their last 6 matches played in Queensland and have covered a line in only 1 of those. The Eels are 11-6 ATS, including covering their last 5 straight, while they have a 6-2 cover record as an away side. They are 11-6 Under in TMP’s, with a 5-3 Under record on the road, while 3 of the last 4 clashes with the Titans have also finished Under. Bevan French has scored 9 tries from 6 appearances for the Eels and is now only 1 behind Semi Radradra as Parramatta’s leading try scorer. The Titans come into this match in 7th position, which is their highest position since Round 4. They rank 8th in both attack and defence, while their differential of -3 also ranks 8th . All but 1 of the Titans 8 wins have come against sides currently ranked in the bottom half of the ladder. The Titans are the Number 1 cover side in the NRL, with a 12-5 record ATS, while they are 5-3 at home. In TMP’s they are 9-8 in favour of the Overs, while 5 of their last 6 at home have all finished Under. A Titans try has been the 1st scoring play in 5 of their last 6 matches and they have also scored the 1st try in the last 5 clashes with the Eels. Nene Macdonald is the Titans leading try scorer with 8 and he has scored 6 of those in his last 4 matches.

Preview

Eels remain plucky but their season is now officially dead with them unable to make the semis, riddled with key outs and injuries and into a distance road game to the glitter strip. I have nothing but respect for their efforts through recent months but they have a long list of key outs and we now add Jennings to that, Foran, Norman, Radrada, Toutai, that’s a big chunk of combinations and class there. I think the Eels might drop their bundle soon now that the finals are out of reach, interstate road trips can catch many a side off guard.

Titans were good last week and even without Bird should be too strong at home. Their key combinations at 9, 7 and 6 are growing well, tehir style of looking to open things up and play some footy should suit, they are building nicely and while likely to be found out against the pointy end of the table this looks the right game and week to be with them again.

Bet 2 units Titans -4.5 $1.87 Sportsbet


Storm vs Roosters

-14.5 Storm

Stats

The Sydney Roosters travel to Melbourne where they will meet the Storm to close out Super Saturday. The Storm handed the Roosters their biggest ever defeat at Allianz Stadium when they last met in Round 14 to make it 3 wins from the last 4 clashes, and they have also won well 3 of the last 4 meetings played at AAMI Park. Melbourne is 2nd on the ladder and they continue to set the bench mark defensively, conceding 11.6 points per game, while they rank 4th in attack. Their differential of 220 is also the best in the NRL. They are unbeaten in their last 4 at home, to make it 7 wins from 8 matches at AAMI Park this season, while they have won 8 of 9 against a bottom 8 opponent, their only blemish was against the Dragons when they had a number of key outs. Melbourne is 9-8 ATS and is split evenly at home, producing a 4-4 result, while they have covered in 9 of their last 14 night matches at home when giving up a start. The Storm favours the Unders in TMP’s, producing a 12-5 result, while 7 of their last 9 night games at AAMI Park have also finished Under. In 4 of the previous 5 clashes with the Roosters the TMP’s haven’t finished higher than 38. It would appear that Suliasa Vunivalu has a mortgage as the top try scorer in the NRL, with 17 tries in just 11 games since making his debut in Round 7 and he scored both the 1st and last try of the match in the previous meeting with the Roosters. The Roosters have now lost 5 in a row and a loss this week will make it 6 consecutive losses for the 1st time since 2009. They have lost 7 of 8 on the road in 2016 and they are yet to defeat a side in the Top 8, losing 9 from 9. The Roosters rank 14th in both attack and defence, while their differential of -126 also ranks 14th. The Tri Colours are a poor 6-11 ATS, the equal worst cover record in the competition and have covered in only 2 of their 8 away games, while they have failed to cover in 3 of the last 4 clashes with the Storm. They are 12-5 Over in TMP’s (equal most with Canberra), with 6 of their last 7 decided that way, while they are 7-2 Over against the Top 8. A Roosters try has been the 1st scoring play in their last 4 matches, while Latrell Mitchell has been the Roosters 1st try scorer on 5 occasions and he is the Roosters leading try scorer with 11.

Preview

I’m very weary of Storm games right now as I’m sure a) Bellamy will look to rest Smith and Cronk at some stage, and b) they are likely one of those teams in the middle of a fitness routine in prep for September.

The Roosters have now lost 5 straight, should well have won last Monday night and have their best player list. But unless the Storm have 2 key outs I can’t on paper get the handicap any shorter than 14.5, with the market at best 10.5.

This game also marks Jessie Bromwich’s 150 in the top grade, and I am yet to see any club or coach to every have such a record as Bellamy and the Storm in ensuring that they lift for major player milestone games.

Storm to be winning back at home, happy to stay out.


Sharks vs Knights

-28.5 Sharks

Stats

It’s last versus 1st when Knights travel to the Shire to take on the Sharks, Newcastle has lost 11 straight, while the Sharks have won 14 in a row. The Knights suffered their 2nd biggest loss in their history when they last met Cronulla when they went down 62-0. Newcastle has won 4 of the last 5 clashes at Shark Park but they have opened at the longest price of any side in almost 2 years. The Knights are anchored at the bottom of the ladder and are destined to finish there, they rank 16th in for and against and have the worst differential by more than 200 points. They have conceded 20 points or more in their last 11 matches and only twice this season have they posted a score of more than 18. The Knights are 7-10 ATS and have covered in only 4 of 11 when getting a double digit start. They are 10-7 Over in TMP’s, with 4 of their last 5 totaling 48 or more. Newcastle has conceded the 1st try of the match in 8 of their last 9 and in 5 of the last 6 clashes with the Sharks and last week they became the 1st side to concede 100 tries for the season. The Sharks continue to break and set records as they aim for 15 consecutive victories. They are unbeaten at home, winning 9 from 9, with 8 of those wins coming by a margin of 1-12 points. Cronulla has won the last 3 matches against the Knights, scoring 114 points, while conceding just 34. They are 11-6 ATS, with a 4-5 cover record at home, while they have covered in their last 3 against Newcastle. The Sharks are 9-8 Under in TMP’s, with a 6-3 Under record at home, while 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Knights have finished Over. Valentine Holmes (13) and Sosaia Feki (12) have combined to score more than a third of the Sharks tries this season and Holmes bagged 4 tries in the last meeting with the Knights.

Preview


Dragons vs Tigers

+5.5 Dragons

Stats

A crucial game for both the Dragons and Tigers to keep their finals hopes alive when they clash at ANZ Stadium. The Dragons have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Tigers, all of which were played at this week’s venue. The half time leader has won the last 6 encounters and that could be pivotal as neither one of these sides has overcome a half time deficit this season, with the Dragons losing 9 from 9 and the Tigers 6 from 6. The Dragons are 10th on the ladder and sit 9th in the defensive standings, while they have the 2nd worst attack in the NRL, averaging 13.3 points a game and no side has scored fewer 2nd half points than the Dragons who have outscored their opponent in the 2nd half just once all season. They have lost 5 of their last 6 at ANZ Stadium and 4 of their last 5 away from their suburban home grounds, while they have conceded 30+ points in their last 4 losses. The Dragons are 8-9 ATS and have covered in only 1 of their last 5 at ANZ Stadium, while they have covered in only 1 of their last 7 when getting at start of 4.5 points or more. They are 11-6 Under in TMP’s but 4 of their last 5 have finished Over as have 4 of their last 5 at ANZ Stadium. The Dragons have conceded half of their 64 tries this season down their right edge in defence. Kurt Mann has scored 6 tries in just 6 appearances for the Dragons, yet he is their leading try scorer. The Tigers will be fresh off the Bye and have named one of their strongest line ups of the season. They have won 4 of their last 7 and 4 of their last 5 against sides in the bottom half of the ladder. They sit just behind the Dragons in 11th spot and are 9th in attack, while they have the 2nd worst defensive record in the comp, conceding an average of 25.7 points a game. The Tigers are 9-8 ATS and have covered in 4 of their last 5 at ANZ Stadium, but they have a poor 3-12 cover record since 2014 as a favourite. They are 11-6 Over in TMP’s, including their last 5 straight, while their last 5 at ANZ Stadium have all topped 40 at an average of 50. In 4 of the last 5 clashes between these 2 sides the TMP’s have also topped 40, while matches refereed by Ashley Klein are in favour of the Overs, producing a 14-5 result season to date, including the last 8 straight. James Tedesco is the Tigers leading try scorer with 11 and on 3 occasions each, he has been both the Tigers 1st try scorer or their last try scorer.

Preview

Seems a very modest position to oppose the Dragons, they have had 30 odd points put through them at 3 of their last 4 starts against decent opponents, have been horrible at their last two losses and now chose to play at a neutral ground (Homebush). Tigers come off a bye break, will get all key players back from Origin, stretched the Bulldogs when under strength last start and come through credible form / efforts at their prior three including good wins over Panthers and Rabbits. Lot more upside and positive play in the Tigers right now while Dragons just look on a slide and in free-fall and I want to stay against them.


Rabbits vs Eagles

+5.5 Rabbits

Stats

Two arch rivals close out Round 20 when the Rabbitohs and Sea Eagles clash at Allianz Stadium in Monday Night Football. Both sides will be desperate for a win to keep their slim finals hopes alive but regardless of who wins, it’s highly unlikely that we will see either of these teams in September. The Rabbitohs have won 4 of the last 5 clashes with the Sea Eagles, including their last meeting at Allianz Stadium when the Bunnies started their march to Grand Final glory in 2014. That is now a distant memory for Souths who have now lost 6 in a row, 10 of their last 12 and have conceded 20 points or more in their last 11 straight. They have trailed at half time in 11 of their last 12 scoring an average of just 5 1st half points during that time and only in 1 of those have they been able to overcome the deficit to win. They have slumped to 13th spot on the ladder, are 13th in defence, while their attack and differential both rank 12th. They are the equal worst cover team in the competition, producing a 6-11 record ATS and have covered in only 2 of 8 when getting a start. In TMP’s they are 11-6 Over, with 8 of their last 9 totaling 40 or more, while 6 of their last 7 at Allianz Stadium have also topped 40. Manly has recorded back to back wins and will be looking to make it 3 straight for the 1st time this season. They have been Monday night regulars in 2016, with this being their 7th game of MNF and they have been a 50/50 proposition in the Monday fixture, winning 3 of 6. The Sea Eagles are currently 12th and are ranked 13th in attack, while both their defence and differential rank 11th. They are 7-10 ATS and have covered in their last 3, while they have covered in 3 of their last 4 when laying a start. Since 2015 road favourites in MNF have a 14-8 record ATS when laying a single figure start. In TMP’s Manly are 9-8 in favour of the Under, while 5 of the last 6 (& 8 of the last 10) clashes with the Rabbitohs have also finished Under, with an average of 35.

Preview


Eagles keep improving and their efforts through their last 3 outings has merit, stretching the Cowboys then wins over the Dragons and Warriors (although either not the strongest form reference). What I think has been apparent is a focused work ethic and a team list pulling together, positive signs that Barrett has support and has everyone on the same page of  effort and hard work. Defensively they have also been strong.

Rabbits have been a mess for many weeks now losing their last 6, losing players off their list and having key outs. Defensively they keep leaking near 30 points most weeks at present, had they played someone in much stronger current form last week as opposed to the Broncos they would have been belted by 50.

I like what the Eagles are doing through recent weeks, and they still have a remote chance of making the finals and so have something to play for. Barrett looks to have also instilled some attitude and work ethic into them across the last 6 weeks and that should be the edge here. I like them to win, at this neutral ground I think the handicap should be something like 6, I’m happy to leave the game alone as a betting interest but if looking for a play then certainly Eagles -2.5 is the option.



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NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2016 Round 23

Mr.G provides our NRL Tips Previews Sports Betting

Having coached at a senior level for 16 years including 3 years on the coaching staff of an NRL club Mr G is an avid student of the game. He’s coached sides to win titles at a senior level, run the football arm of a successful district club, managed professional players and worked in various development roles, so it’s fair to say the game of Rugby League is certainly in his blood and supports an experienced and unique offering.

Mr G’s NRL previews and betting tips combine this knowledge and ‘read’ of the current weekly form with a statistical and betting analysis to provide his followers with a unique and successful approach. He spends hours each week watching and reviewing each and every game assessing the strengths and weakness of the form to then weigh against that of the betting markets. His previews and betting tips have been published on the internet via two sports forums for 7 years prior to his public offering through Reading The Play.

MrG’s recommended weekly game by game previews and any recommended betting plays for this individual round are listed here. Each NRL Preview and Sports Betting Tips message thread will normally open on a Thursday and list any early game ratings and betting plays. It will be updated each day and then detailed game by game Previews, Ratings and final Bet List will be published online by 8am on the morning of the first game of the round (Fridays). All subscribers can also receive all recommended bets via sms message.

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