Horse Racing Tips | Spring Champion Stakes Group 1 Preview

Horse Racing Tips | Spring Champion Stakes Group 1 Preview

Horse Racing Tips | Spring Champion Stakes Group 1 Preview

Luskin Star provides expert Horse Racing Best Bets each week for our Reading The Play subscribers.


Spring Champion Stakes Group 1 2000

Spring Champion Stakes Randwick Race 7 – Odds and Race Form

Spring Champion Stakes Race Day Info

Race Preview

History

The Spring Champion Stakes is a Group 1 Set Weights race restricted to 3yos and has been run at Royal Randwick course proper over 2000m every year since 1971 with only three exceptions. In 1983 Warwick Farm hosted Sir Dapper as the winner over 2100m, in 2001 Viking Ruler won on the inner Kensington track over a distance of 1800m while the race was not run in 2007 due to Equine Influenza. Only a recent addition to Group 1 status in Australia, the Spring Champion Stakes was first run in 1971, with victory going to the Cyril Beechey trained Gay Icarus who went on to win the Caulfield Cup the same year. Some outstanding gallopers have won this prestigious event in the early years including the mighty Kingston Town, Beau Zam, Kinjite and Tie The Knot. Since the turn of the century however most of the better 3yos seem to head to Melbourne earlier in the Spring and since 2000 only Universal Prince, Savabeel and It’s a Dundeel are notable winners who went on to bigger and better feats later in their respective careers. One memorable running in 1978 saw the Geoff Murphy trained Lefroy defeat Golden Slipper winner Luskin Star by a head, after Bart Cummings endeavoured to turn the electrifying sprinting son of Kaoru Star into a middle distance horse. Fillies have a very poor record in the race, with Yankee Rose in 2016 the first and only filly to win the event, although very few are accepted for the race.

Analysis

The 2017 version appears similar in quality to most Champion Stakes in recent years seemingly lacking any super stars however all bar Ace High (10 starts) have had eight starts or less so that may well prove to be an early crow call. There are very few go forward horses in the field of ten which may cause an acute lack of pace in the event. Ace High led all the way to win the Gloaming Stakes, the traditional lead up, while Queensland visitor Surprise Bullet generally goes forward in his races so should take up a handy position. Sanctioned has never led, however usually races handy so he will probably come across in the early stages from his wide barrier and be somewhere just off the speed.

Ace High has taken giant leaps this campaign winning a Kembla maiden first up at his seventh race start, culminating in his Group 2 victory last start in the Gloaming. The son of High Chaparral led all the way to win over 1800m as a $9 chance, not ever looking like being run down in the straight so if punters believe what they saw at Rosehill then he will definitely be hard to run down again in this race. We would prefer he took a sit in the run, as at the elite level it is usually very difficult to lead all the way over this distance. Trainer David Payne excels with middle distance/staying types so this brown or black colt should be perfectly tuned for the 2000m assignment. The former South African mentor has a two pronged attack on this race with outsider Colesberg also accepted. His only win came over 1200m and he was too far behind Ace High in the Gloaming to be considered a realistic winning hope.

Godolphin has a strong hand with Sanctioned and Astoria. Sanctioned ran Ace High to less than a length and a half in the Gloaming and looked as though the 2000m would suit ideally. All his runs this time in have been very good with placings in both the Stan Fox and the Up and Coming prior so he is most consistent and ready to peak on the day. Astoria won the Spring Stakes at Newcastle beating a good field however struggled in the Gloaming which is a real concern for his supporters in this race. Maybe with a little more speed on here Astoria can improve.

It would not be a 2000m race in Sydney without Chris Waller having a runner and Tangled looks well primed for a competitive run here. The son of Snitzel has had two runs this time in, running on late in the Dulcify Quality last start to finish a close forth. Not sure about the Dulcify form as it was a bunched finish however this colt will be much fitter, significantly drops 4kg in weight and is well drawn to run a great race today.

Team Hawkes attack the Spring Champion Stakes with a maiden named Dissolution. History is stacked against this son of Snitzel as no maiden has ever won this Group 1 event. He ran on strongly in the Dulcify so it appears the 2000m will suit, he is fitter now and well drawn. Whether he has the class to win this type of an event is questionable.

Victorian visitors Sully and Coral Coast were both acclimatised to Sydney racing with even runs in the Gloaming. Both were beaten over five lengths and face a difficult task to turn the tables on the winner and runner up at Rosehill. Coral Coast would become only the second filly in the race’s history to win so odds are certainly against her gaining Group 1 glory in this event. Queensland are represented by the Brian Lockwood trained Surprise Bullet. Albeit an impressive 1800m Gold Coast maiden winner last start by an ever expanding five length margin, this race looks like a bridge too far for the son of Bullet Train.

Langley won a Kembla Grange maiden two starts back before being beaten around two and a half lengths in the Dulcify. The son of Redoutes Choice may find himself a tad out of his depth in this event.

Summary

Looking for a horse who will run out a strong 2000m. Sure, Ace High looked good winning the Gloaming however we prefer to risk leaders in distance races and seek out the horse who will get a good run in transit behind the speed, then finish powerfully over the final 200m. Had Sanctioned drawn better, he would be a special in the race. By Teofilo out of an Encosta De Lago mare, the step up in distance is ideal, he just needs a bit of luck in the first 200m, the super in form Kerrin McEvoy should guarantee that. Tangled looks primed third up to peak on the day while we expect improved runs from both Astoria and Sully.

1 #4 Sanctioned

2 #3 Tangled

3 #1 Ace High

4 #2 Astoria
Best of luck to all punters.


Luskin Star provides expert Horse Racing Best Bets each week for our Reading The Play subscribers.

If you are looking for professional horse racing tips then you are at the right place. Luskin Star provides expert Horse Racing Best Bets each week for our Reading The Play Horse Racing subscribers – a highly experienced punter, breeder, jockey manager and long term industry participant he brings a meticulous approach to his work and selections, refined over many decades of professional punting. His approach is very selective with a likely 2 to 4 selections each week with Saturday’s his main focus.

Educated, well reasoned winning best bets and horse racing tips for Australian horse racing.

Luskin Star spends countless hours each week analysing form, times, weights and other statistical criteria critical toward providing quality horse racing tips and winning long term on Australian horse racing. In addition to his own assessments, video review and form assessment Luskin Star also has a strong network of industry contacts – all of which contribute to the framing of his final recommended horse racing best bets and tips.

Reading The Play have been providing quality horse racing best bet selections for 4 years, consistently in profit across this period. Following the retirement of Ian Brown Luskin Star has now taken on this role from May 2017.

Further details on our Horse Racing offering here


Horse-Racing-Winning-Tips-800x350

Published on in Free Bets, Horse Racing.