Expert Horse Racing Tips | Dec 3rd – Dec 9th
Expert Horse Racing Tips
Bet List Selections and Previews
Friday 9th December
Doomben R7#5 JENNIFER JUNIPER $3.80 Sportsbet x 3 units
(rated $2.60) drops in grade off recent runs in Cl3 and Cl2 where sectional times and ratings and been good, and look much stronger than this Cl1 and it’s make up, small field and extra 100 mtrs suit 2nd up, expect it runs well off those recent ratings in this grade
Sunday 4th December
Sunshine Coast R7#5 MIRI MIRI $3.60 Ubet x 3 units
(rated $2.50) with 25mm of rain over night and slow 6 track well placed here, won 4th up last prep, strips fit off three runs, excellent record here at home track (5 wins 4 seconds from 12 starts) just nailed late last start gets conditions to suit to go one better
Saturday 3rd December
Pakenham R2#5 SMART DART $3.00 Sportsbet x 3 units
(rated $2.60) has won 3 of last 4 and unsuited on leader bias track last start, strips fitter 3rd up, well weighted and at pet distance on spacious track, can run smart closing splits and expect that’s what we see today
Pakenham R4#5 CHEEKY BABE $3.40 Luxbet x 4 units
(rated $2.40) very honest placed 9 of 11 starts and recent four runs, ratings ans times just place it well above this field, steps to 1400 should suit, maps to box seat behind what looks some nice tempo offering her the last crack, looks hard to beat
Morphettville R4#3 COUNTER SPIN $3.60 Ubet x 4 units
(rated $2.60) strips fitter off first up run when just nailed late in strong rating race, looks to drop in box seat here and get lovely run, drops to slightly weaker grade, good record this track has a strong motor and is the one to beat
Ascot R6#2 COMING BACK $4.60 Sportsbet x 4 units
(rated $2.60) has reeled off some very smart closing sectionals at each of last 4 starts, most notably last two in Group and Listed grade, drops significantly in grade here then in well with teh claim for smart trainer, looks speed in the race which suits any repeat of recent closing splits gives this a major shake
Multi Leg Play
$100 Flexi = 41.6%
R6 -1, 2
R7- 2, 5, 6, 7
R8- 2, 3, 5, 8, 15
R9- 2, 5, 8, 9, 14, 16
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Staking (and results keeping)
We list recommended stakes in Units so as to allow subscribers to tailor their betting outlay to suit their bank. Some may chose to bet $10 units, some $50 units, and so on.
For those who would prefer a more conservative approach, given the high % of placings achieved you might consider a 1 x 2 staking method, staking 1 unit the win and 2 units the place for all selections regardless of their market price. Your longer term returns will be less, but this approach will even out the run of win outs when they occur and assist in maintaining your long term betting bank.
Ian brown personally chooses to be Win only, and all record keeping is based on this approach.
1) BEST BETS are bet to the recommended unit stake, normally WIN bet or on occasions each way, as outlined beside each listed selection
2) MULTI LEG BETS when provided can be bet at any flexi % bet outlay to suit each individual subscriber, however as a guide for staking and % return multi leg bets are suggested with a $100 flexi % bet outlays.
Published prices are a guide (when available) to the best price we were able to obtain either in the hours prior (fixed price) to the race or in the trading on the race (best fluc or best tote). Current pre race market prices can be compared here.
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