Football | A-League | Bets Tips Previews | Grand Final
Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory
Sydney has won all 3 matches against the Victory this season, the 1st time they have ever made a clean sweep of the Big Blue
Sydney is unbeaten in their last 15 games with the home ground advantage and they have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 9 at Allianz Stadium
Sydney had scored 55 goals after 27 Rounds, the most in the A League, while they conceded the fewest with 12
Sydney has kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 leading into the Grand Final
Sydney has a 2 goal average at Allianz Stadium this season and only twice in the 13 games played at the ground have they failed to find the back of the net
Sydney has scored the opening goal in 7 of their last 8 and their last 6 straight at Allianz Stadium
Bobo is Sydney’s leading goal scorer with 15 and 7 of those have come from his last 8 appearances
The Victory have won only 5 of their 13 away games this season (5-3-5) and only 1 of their last 6 without the home ground advantage (1-2-4)
Melbourne has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions this season, including their last 3 straight
Only once in their last 8 matches have the Victory scored a 1st half goal
The Victory haven’t scored more than a single goal in the last 5 meetings with the Sky Blues
Melbourne has scored the opening goal in only 1 of the last 6 meetings with Sydney FC at Allianz Stadium
Melbourne Victory are undefeated in 5 previous Finals matches against Sydney FC and have opened the scoring in 4 of them
Victory have had Unders results in 4 of their last 5 on the road
Berisha has scored 20 goals this season, but none against Sydney FC, making it 5 consecutive games without a goal against the Premiers
In 9 of the last 11 clashes, including the last 6 straight, the scores have been drawn at half time
There has been 3 or more goals scored in 6 of the previous 9 meetings
Tip: Sydney FC
The Grand Final of all Grand Finals… 1 v 2, the Sky Blues v Victory…
What can we say about Sydney FC that hasn’t already been said? They’ve set all records this year. Most points in a Season, best Goal Difference (+43), fewest goals conceded (12), fewest goals conceded at home (4) PLUS, they have played Victory 3 times this year for 3 wins (05/11 – 2:1 SFS | 26/01 – 2:1 ETIHAD | 03/03 1:0 SFS).
Now that we’ve got the stats out of the way, lets look at this match up much more closely. We clearly have the best two teams in the competition, with more firepower than a driving range. We have the League’s all time leading goal scorer in Besart Berisha (101 goals) up against the best player in the land, the Serbian superstar in Milos Ninkovic. Both born winners and will do what it takes to get their team over the line on Sunday evening. Interestingly, Victory & Sydney are also #1 & #2 when it comes to scoring goals in the last 15mins of contests (13 & 12 goals respectively), and its due to the fact that they are also the fittest two teams in the competition. They kick into another gear when other teams are fatiguing.
Sydney press quite high up on the field and look for the turnover in the opposition’s half so they can catch them on the break in a matter of seconds. Their diamond front 3rd of Bobo/Ninkovic/Brosque are the best in the business, and they can hurt you in an instant. Marginally behind them and I say marginally, Victory counter with their diamond of Berisha/Khalfallah/Rojas. And you see why fireworks are expected??
For mine, the contest will be won in defence. Sydney have kept a record 17 clean sheets throughout the season, and to think they’ve only conceded 12 goals in 42hrs of football. Yes that’s right, 12 goals in 28 games. Unbelievable at this level. And this is why we saw Sydney’s back 4 of Vukovic/Wilkinson/Grant/Zullo all be rewarded for their stellar seasons with all 4 making the PFA Team of the Year that was announced earlier this week.
In a nutshell, Grand Finals are built on Defence, and for this reason I believe Sydney will win their 3rd A-League grand final this weekend. It’s a funny thing when we play Grand Finals, it’s usually the team that is up for it on the day that takes home the silverware, and not necessarily the best team, but Graham Arnold has geared his entire season towards getting the Sky Blues back into the Asian Champions League and taking Sydney FC back to the promised land one again.
Come 7pm on Sunday Night, in front of their home ground, in front of their fans, at a venue they’ve only conceded 4-goals throughout their campaign, I believe we will see Sydney FC crowned the Kings of Australian Football one more time.
Bets to consider
Sydney to score the 1st goal – Victory have been poor on the road in recent weeks, scoring the opening goal of only 2 of their last 7 and in the other 5 have been kept scoreless
Total Match Goal’s of less than 2.5 – Melbourne gone under in 5 of last 7, Sydney the same in 8 of last 11 at home
Sydney the only team to score ($3.20) – given Melbourne’s lack of goals in recent weeks and Sydney’s brick wall defence
Pick the score – Sydney FC 2-0 currently paying $9.00
Staking: The recommended units bet is indicated next to each bet in the above bet list. The base bet is 1 to 5 units (and is also a reflection of confidence).
A-League Key Contest Stats
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