Horse Racing Recommended Plays | 2021

Saturday May 15th

Doomben  R3 #7 PALLADAS  x 2.5 units EW  – Win $10.00 Place $2.90
The fav (Love Tap) is pretty smart but has only had the one trial and has target longer distant races in coming weeks, happy to risk here, PALLADAS has a good sprint and record this distance, nice run first up, strips fitter and should get forward sit

Doomben  R6 #8 SENOR TOBA  x 5 units Win $3.00
Think this is a future star, Waller runner who has had only 4 starts, dropped on them 2nd up with some outstanding closing 400 mtr sectionals, a stayer that can finish with sprinter type sectionals like that is very smart, stays at 2000mtrs, gets McDonald, Waller has outstanding record in this race

Doomben  R8 #3 ATHIRI  x 5 units Win $3.20
Forget first up run, badly held up and never saw clean running on rubbish track, has 9 wins or placings at this grade, from good gate should push forward and looks to get the stalking position here and then get to lengthen on straightening, gets positive joc change

Flemington  R8 #12 VIRAL  x 5 units Win $4.20
O’Brien runner who looks primed for first up run, looked sharp in recent trial and then further jumpout, good record track, distance and on soft ground, looks to have been saved for a post carnival prep, good gate, looks thrown in with 52kg

Rosehill  R5 #1 PRIME STAR  x 5 units Win $2.50
Has been all around good ones last 3 runs including the likes of Rocketing By, Ole Kirk, Aegon, North Pacific, Lions Roar and Mo’unga, given 10 week freshen up then looked outstanding in recent trail, big drop in grade, gets good gate and map, should be winning

Saturday Notes:
Others of interest for the day:
Flemington R6 #5 MIAMI BOUND looks the class and perfect set up by astute distance trainer O’Brien
Flemington R9 #17 SAN FABRIZIO French import, second run for Hawkes, looks very progressive and its breed love wet ground
Morphettville R4 #4 BROOKLYN HUSTLE might finally get the right race set up, draws a good gate, likely sits forward, Kah key joc change

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Horse Racing Recommended Plays | May 2021

Sunday May 16th

Sandown   R4 #1 CARDIGAN QUEEN   x 5 units Win $2.90
Strong stable push, had two nice runs 2nd both occasions, three weeks between runs, looks in well with the 2kg claim with inform rider, maps to be the one finishing down the crown of the track

Sandown   R5 #1 CHANTERA   x 5 units Win $3.40
WA stayer 3rd run in Vic with astute Smith stable, ran 3rd in 1800mtr Group 3 in Perth, also won Listed 2200mtrs third up, had two runs in this time making nice ground latest, drops 5kg in field strength grade here, gets 2kg claim, looks the right race

Saturday May 15th

Doomben  R1 #4 CELLARMAID  x 4 units Win $4.60
Like stayers building through their runs and prep up to pet distance as this has, 2nd last start at 1800 now at suitable 2000mtrs, runs well 4th and 5th up into a prep, has a very strong win to its credit this track and distance last prep, happy to risk the fav stepping 1600 > 2000

Doomben  R4 #5 ROCKETING BY  x 5 units Win $3.90
Won three straight last prep against some nice formlines, had excuses last start on heavy track and inside draw, then held up when extending, McDonald sticks, gets better draw and track surface, looks in the right race to get its chance here

Rosehill  R8 #8 KIRWAN’S LANE  x 4 units Win $6.50
Some high quality ratings and form runs late last prep, beat Spirit Ridge and Missybeel then close up behind Paradee in strong Gold Coast race, has some peak ratings that are very strong for this, O’Shea stable flying, has won 2nd up and there is talk of if running well here heading to Brisbane

Flemington  R3 #2 LINAS LEGEND  x 5 units Win $2.80
Was keen early then strong through the run chasing a smart one running a strong rating, expect further improvement here, on home track, Kah now takes the ride (rode the winner on its last start race)

Flemington  R9 #12 ZACHAZ  x 5 units Win $3.80
Looked in need of the run yet very good first up, drew wide, settled well back, 8 wide around the turn to then be closing strongly for 3rd, given 4 weeks between runs, is 2/2 second up, astute Maher stable and Kah now rides

Doomben Cup May 22nd

ZAAKI  x 5 units Win $3.50

UK bred import purchased after 20 runs and brought to Oz for the big money races, this prep aiming at the WFA G1 Doomben Cup (2000mtrs). Off two good lead up runs he stamped his form winning G2 Hollindale last Saturday running a new WFA performance rating of 104.5, the best in QLD at 1600 and beyond over the last 5 yrs. Given this race was his target you would have to expect some further fine tuning and improvement, even at that rating at at WFA and 2000 he has to be very hard to beat. JMac has stuck with him all the way through for obvious reasons.


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All care taken. No responsibility accepted. Please check all information at your own discretion. Any prices quoted for suggested bets are accurate at the time of writing. For personal use ONLY. This information may not be reproduced in any way whatsoever or re-used for any purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of Reading The Play.

Horse Racing Recommended Plays | May 2021

Saturday May 29th

Eagle Farm  R2 #9 SUPERIUM  x 5 units Win $3.40
Had stable change across to Hawkes and now 3 runs into this prep improving with each run, latest close up 3rd to Axe and around strong form line, had to go back from the wide gate then came from last in big field 6 and 7 wide around the turn to be closing strongly running fastest two closing sectionals, now gets good gate and map

Replay latest run 3rd behind Axe here

Eagle Farm  R5 #2 LE DON DE VIE  x 5 units Win $3.30
Won Warnambool Cup running decent time and final sectionals, runner up HEART OF PUISSANCE won next start by 4 lengths, McDonald now takes the ride, should roll along in front, control tempo and be hard to run down

Eagle Farm  R6 #7 RANCH HAND  x 4 units Win $5.00
Looks a very smart type on the up for Waller who has a knack of getting these young talented ones on the up into the right races through the Brisbane carnival, 2nd last start on unsuitable ground beaten a lip when really picking up quickly and rattling hard late, has some smart ratings around it, open race but looks plenty of upside

Eagle Farm  R9 #1 MADAM ROUGE  EW x 2 units Win $8.00  2 units Place $2.90
Waller runner who has proven to love racing in Brisbane this time of year, she has class as a Group 1 placegetter and Group 2 winner and touch unlucky 2nd in the Stradbroke this track 12 months ago, her Spring campaign was better than it looked off some horrible barriers, she has had two trials as a lead in here, has an excellent record fresh (2 wins, 2 placings), good low gate and McDonald rides

Replay of 2nd in Stradbroke last year here

Caulfield  R3 #10 THE GAUCH  x 5 units Win $3.60
Returns this prep gelded, two wins and two seconds last prep coming through grades nicely, ran some smart sectionals and ratings in each of those 4 runs, had a trial and jump out in readiness for return, up in grade but gets lighter weight and then 3kg claim, good gate and normal pattern to sit forward on speed on the back of its best ratings look to put it right in the race

Randwick  R5 #7 SIXGUN  x 4 units Win $4.80
Lightly raced Newnham runner who in first prep ran close up in two Listed races including a close up behind the very smart Wild Ruler, given two trials prior to return then caught and sat 4 wide on heavy track at Warwick Farm to just miss only beaten by the horse who had the suck run behind it, now drops 4.5kg in field strength, gets better draw and map, looks right in the finish

Replay of latest run when 2nd first up here


Prices quoted the Fixed price available at the time of notification, subject to final scratchings and any deductions

©Copyright Reading The Play

All care taken. No responsibility accepted. Please check all information at your own discretion. Any prices quoted for suggested bets are accurate at the time of writing. For personal use ONLY. This information may not be reproduced in any way whatsoever or re-used for any purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of Reading The Play.

NFL Tips | 2021-2022


NFL Week 3

Bet 2 units Arizona Cardinals -7.0 $1.85 Topsport
-5.5 $1.75 at Tab (bet to achieve same collect)
Jaguars are ordinary and their defense has spent a lot of time onfield in first two games and been beat up, line looks too low

Bet 1 unit Los Angeles Chargers +7.0 $1.91 Topsport
Chiefs only covered line at 2 of last 13 major D issues and coverage issues for Holmes, looks target game for Charges and the plus looks to put them deep in here

Bet 1 unit Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants under 48.5 $1.87 Sportsbet

Bet 1.5 units Chicago Bears @ Cleveland Browns under 47.0 $1.80 Topsport

Bet 1 unit Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.0 $1.95 Topsport
With Brady and the smarts of their attack just look the better team here even on the road

Bet 2 units Green Bay Packers +3.5 $1.80 Tab
Packers QB Rogers back to near best last week, 49ers picking up more key injury, looking for Rogers to shot some more holes in the patched up 49ers line up

Bet 1 unit San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers over 49.5 $1.81 Topsport

Bet 1 unit Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 $1.83 Topsport
Primetime matchup looks some points (high total) in the game but Eagles have been undervalued to date, Cowboys always a public fav, the plus looks too big

Bet 1.5 units Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys under 51.5 $1.96 Topsport

To win / match line all up
Bet 1.5 units all up

$1.26 Carolina Panthers A (74%)
$1.27 Arizona Cardinals A (74%)
$1.28 Cleveland Browns H (75%)
$1.27 Buffalo Bills H (73%)
$1.16 Denver Broncos H (79%)
$3.01 Topsport

H = Home | % = calculated win probability % straight up


NFL Week 2

Bet 1 unit New England Patriots -3.5 $1.86
Early play, think this goes off much longer, Pats ok today in here v Jets freshman QB

Bet 1.5 units Miami +3.5 $1.85
Rams easy to like off good first up win, Colts new QB but looks to be playing for his life on his own and now weak D

Bet 1 unit LA Rams -3.5 $1.85
Rams easy to like off good first up win, Colts new QB but looks to be playing for his life on his own and now weak D

Bet 1.5 units 49ers @ Eagles over 49.5 $1.80

Bet 2 units Tampa Bay -11.5 $1.85  BB
Falcons are ordinary 4/12 last year and don’t look to have improved, Bucks offense is sharp, line looks too low

To win / match line all up
Bet 1.5 units all up

Broncos $1.38
Patriots $1.41
Browns $1.15
Bucks $1.13
$2.52


NFL Week 1

Bet 1 unit Tampa Bay -8.0 $1.89 BB Topsport
Bucks retain all but full line up and had pre season for further work, expect Brady picks up where he left off and carves up this offense

Bet 1 unit Seahawks-Colts over 50.0 $1.89

Bet 1 unit Rams -7.5 $1.91
Rams look to strong both sides here, D should shut down what little the Bears bring with Dalton as QB while Rams offense should have little trouble knocking up a winning margin

Bet 1 unit Las Vegas v Baltimore total under 50.5 $1.85 Tabcorp

To win / match line all up
Bet 1.5 units all up

Tampa Bay $1.24
49ers $1.25
KC Chiefs $1.36
Rams $1.26
$2.65


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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 10 | Reading The Play

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 10 | Reading The Play

AFL Statsman provides AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting content each week for our Reading The Play AFL subscribers.

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2020: +0.3 units  | 16 winners / 29 bets | strike rate 55.2%

2014-2020: Profit +97.89 units | 226 winners / 395 bets | strike rate 57.2%



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AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2020

AFL Statsman provides our AFL Sports Previews and Betting Tips

97.5 units Profit since commencement in 2014!

AFL Statsman in 2019 was able to build on his impressive record which has now delivered AFL subscribers 97.5 units of profit at a strike rate of 57.5% over the past six seasons.

AFL Results here > RTP_AFL Results_2019

 

Bets Win % Units Bet Units Return Profit POT
2019 77 44 57.1 134 145.33 11.33 8.5%


Having played and followed the game for some 31 years Statsman combines an in depth statistical analysis and hands on view of the AFL and now provides our subscribers with his AFL tips game previews and recommended AFL sports betting tips.

Statsman has a strong sense of history and repeatedly quotes Spanish philosopher, George Santayana in saying ‘Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” He understands the markets and how to beat them; this is the key to winning long term. He has a keen eye for form, bias, faults and misconceptions within the market. Statsman beats the market because he has an edge – he analyses the stats, he doesn’t just use them, he looks for angles and opportunities that others don’t see and he doesn’t believe the hype.

Statsman is fanatical about discipline and abhors risky bets and strategies, preferring the methodical accumulation of profit. He only invests money where he has a positive expectation of winning. This is a key to winning long term. He believes in strict money management. There is no short term path to riches in sports betting. It is about discipline and patience.

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 9 | Reading The Play

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 9 | Reading The Play

AFL Statsman provides AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting content each week for our Reading The Play AFL subscribers.

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2020: +6.45 units  | 15 winners / 25 bets | strike rate 60%

2014-2020: Profit +104.04 units | 225 winners / 391 bets | strike rate 57.5%



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AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2020

AFL Statsman provides our AFL Sports Previews and Betting Tips

97.5 units Profit since commencement in 2014!

AFL Statsman in 2019 was able to build on his impressive record which has now delivered AFL subscribers 97.5 units of profit at a strike rate of 57.5% over the past six seasons.

AFL Results here > RTP_AFL Results_2019

 

Bets Win % Units Bet Units Return Profit POT
2019 77 44 57.1 134 145.33 11.33 8.5%


Having played and followed the game for some 31 years Statsman combines an in depth statistical analysis and hands on view of the AFL and now provides our subscribers with his AFL tips game previews and recommended AFL sports betting tips.

Statsman has a strong sense of history and repeatedly quotes Spanish philosopher, George Santayana in saying ‘Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” He understands the markets and how to beat them; this is the key to winning long term. He has a keen eye for form, bias, faults and misconceptions within the market. Statsman beats the market because he has an edge – he analyses the stats, he doesn’t just use them, he looks for angles and opportunities that others don’t see and he doesn’t believe the hype.

Statsman is fanatical about discipline and abhors risky bets and strategies, preferring the methodical accumulation of profit. He only invests money where he has a positive expectation of winning. This is a key to winning long term. He believes in strict money management. There is no short term path to riches in sports betting. It is about discipline and patience.

Subscription Options

A range of subscription packages are available to suit everyone (from as low as $16 a week), Weekly, Multi 5 Week, Season Pass and or various combinations with our other website offerings of NRL or Horse Racing.

 

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 8 | Reading The Play

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 8 | Reading The Play

AFL Statsman provides AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting content each week for our Reading The Play AFL subscribers.

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2020: +2.95 units  | 13 winners / 22 bets | strike rate 59.1%

2014-2020: Profit +100.54 units | 223 winners / 388 bets | strike rate 57.5%



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AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2020

AFL Statsman provides our AFL Sports Previews and Betting Tips

97.5 units Profit since commencement in 2014!

AFL Statsman in 2019 was able to build on his impressive record which has now delivered AFL subscribers 97.5 units of profit at a strike rate of 57.5% over the past six seasons.

AFL Results here > RTP_AFL Results_2019

 

Bets Win % Units Bet Units Return Profit POT
2019 77 44 57.1 134 145.33 11.33 8.5%


Having played and followed the game for some 31 years Statsman combines an in depth statistical analysis and hands on view of the AFL and now provides our subscribers with his AFL tips game previews and recommended AFL sports betting tips.

Statsman has a strong sense of history and repeatedly quotes Spanish philosopher, George Santayana in saying ‘Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” He understands the markets and how to beat them; this is the key to winning long term. He has a keen eye for form, bias, faults and misconceptions within the market. Statsman beats the market because he has an edge – he analyses the stats, he doesn’t just use them, he looks for angles and opportunities that others don’t see and he doesn’t believe the hype.

Statsman is fanatical about discipline and abhors risky bets and strategies, preferring the methodical accumulation of profit. He only invests money where he has a positive expectation of winning. This is a key to winning long term. He believes in strict money management. There is no short term path to riches in sports betting. It is about discipline and patience.

Subscription Options

A range of subscription packages are available to suit everyone (from as low as $16 a week), Weekly, Multi 5 Week, Season Pass and or various combinations with our other website offerings of NRL or Horse Racing.

 

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 7 | Reading The Play

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 7 | Reading The Play

AFL Statsman provides AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting content each week for our Reading The Play AFL subscribers.

Details on our all current Pricing and Subscription Offers can be found here

Full details on our week to week AFL offering can be found here

2020: -0.45 units | 11 winners / 19 bets | strike rate 57.9%

2014-2020: Profit +97.14 units | 221 winners / 385 bets | strike rate 57.4%



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All care taken. No responsibility accepted. Please check all information at your own discretion. Any prices quoted for suggested bets are accurate at the time of writing. For personal use ONLY. This information may not be reproduced in any way whatsoever or re-used for any purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of Reading The Play.

AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2020

AFL Statsman provides our AFL Sports Previews and Betting Tips

97.5 units Profit since commencement in 2014!

AFL Statsman in 2019 was able to build on his impressive record which has now delivered AFL subscribers 97.5 units of profit at a strike rate of 57.5% over the past six seasons.

AFL Results here > RTP_AFL Results_2019

 

Bets Win % Units Bet Units Return Profit POT
2019 77 44 57.1 134 145.33 11.33 8.5%


Having played and followed the game for some 31 years Statsman combines an in depth statistical analysis and hands on view of the AFL and now provides our subscribers with his AFL tips game previews and recommended AFL sports betting tips.

Statsman has a strong sense of history and repeatedly quotes Spanish philosopher, George Santayana in saying ‘Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” He understands the markets and how to beat them; this is the key to winning long term. He has a keen eye for form, bias, faults and misconceptions within the market. Statsman beats the market because he has an edge – he analyses the stats, he doesn’t just use them, he looks for angles and opportunities that others don’t see and he doesn’t believe the hype.

Statsman is fanatical about discipline and abhors risky bets and strategies, preferring the methodical accumulation of profit. He only invests money where he has a positive expectation of winning. This is a key to winning long term. He believes in strict money management. There is no short term path to riches in sports betting. It is about discipline and patience.

Subscription Options

A range of subscription packages are available to suit everyone (from as low as $16 a week), Weekly, Multi 5 Week, Season Pass and or various combinations with our other website offerings of NRL or Horse Racing.

 

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 6 | Reading The Play

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Expert AFL Tips | 2020 Round 6 | Reading The Play

AFL Statsman provides AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting content each week for our Reading The Play AFL subscribers.

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Full details on our week to week AFL offering can be found here

2020: +2.75units  | 10 winners / 16 bets | strike rate 62.5%

2014-2020: Profit +100.34 units | 220 winners / 382 bets | strike rate 57.6%



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All care taken. No responsibility accepted. Please check all information at your own discretion. Any prices quoted for suggested bets are accurate at the time of writing. For personal use ONLY. This information may not be reproduced in any way whatsoever or re-used for any purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of Reading The Play.

AFL Tips Previews Sports Betting 2020

AFL Statsman provides our AFL Sports Previews and Betting Tips

97.5 units Profit since commencement in 2014!

AFL Statsman in 2019 was able to build on his impressive record which has now delivered AFL subscribers 97.5 units of profit at a strike rate of 57.5% over the past six seasons.

AFL Results here > RTP_AFL Results_2019

 

Bets Win % Units Bet Units Return Profit POT
2019 77 44 57.1 134 145.33 11.33 8.5%


Having played and followed the game for some 31 years Statsman combines an in depth statistical analysis and hands on view of the AFL and now provides our subscribers with his AFL tips game previews and recommended AFL sports betting tips.

Statsman has a strong sense of history and repeatedly quotes Spanish philosopher, George Santayana in saying ‘Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” He understands the markets and how to beat them; this is the key to winning long term. He has a keen eye for form, bias, faults and misconceptions within the market. Statsman beats the market because he has an edge – he analyses the stats, he doesn’t just use them, he looks for angles and opportunities that others don’t see and he doesn’t believe the hype.

Statsman is fanatical about discipline and abhors risky bets and strategies, preferring the methodical accumulation of profit. He only invests money where he has a positive expectation of winning. This is a key to winning long term. He believes in strict money management. There is no short term path to riches in sports betting. It is about discipline and patience.

Subscription Options

A range of subscription packages are available to suit everyone (from as low as $16 a week), Weekly, Multi 5 Week, Season Pass and or various combinations with our other website offerings of NRL or Horse Racing.

 

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